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Perpetual Middle East Geopolitical Quagmire Megathread

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He was Muslim brotherhood? Where did you find that out?

Post the link, Hayden...I chuckled the first time, I’ll do it again. People actually read such sites and cite them as fact. It’s fascinating to watch.
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  • ousuxndallas
    ousuxndallas

    Trump is the antithesis of that pussy Obama. The reasons why you guys hate Trump are the reasons we love him. He told Iran not to start shit, and when they did, he laid the wood. #MAGA

  • Brian Fantana
    Brian Fantana

    You've seriously got to be kidding me. In literally any other country in the world, Sanders and Warren would be considered centrists. The Overton window has shifted so far to the right in this fucked

  • You love him because he's a career criminal and conman and has no idea what he's doing and is historically corrupt and is incapable of telling the truth and is a truly terrible human being? That's wei

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Saudis will paint it that the reporter was an agent for Iran and therefore needed to be interrogated for the safety of the KSA and the US.  And mistakes were made that ended up with the reporter being in 15 pieces.  It happens.

 

Let's work through a thought experiment.  Let's say that Trump acknowledges the obvious.  Let's say that the investigation is honest and reports that MBS ordered the assassination.  Let's say that the USA is then obligated by the Magniski (sp?) Act to impose economic sanctions.

What do you think happens next?

I believe that the saudis will ultimately officially admit that a rogue person/team ordered this and NOT the king or prince.  They will apologize, offer up the criminals for execution, and suggest some type of economic sanction against them.   Trump will praise them for their transparency and order some type of meaningless sanction.    And since the king and prince have told trump that they didn’t order the execution, what can trump do?  

9 minutes ago, Nice Guy Eddie said:

I believe that the saudis will ultimately officially admit that a rogue person/team ordered this and NOT the king or prince.  They will apologize, offer up the criminals for execution, and suggest some type of economic sanction against them.   Trump will praise them for their transparency and order some type of meaningless sanction.    And since the king and prince have told trump that they didn’t order the execution, what can trump do?  

They'll probably execute the 2nd guy on Kushner's hitlist for killing the 1st guy. Probably already have his signed confession drawn up. 

I really wish our nation had nothing to do with Saudi Arabia, economically, diplomatically, etc.   It would be so nice to have a president who could tell them, to "fuck off we will no longer buy your oil."      But that would just be mental masturbation.  

It's more than that. The rest of the world needs USD to buy their oil too. 

32 minutes ago, Shmitty said:

I really wish our nation had nothing to do with Saudi Arabia, economically, diplomatically, etc.   It would be so nice to have a president who could tell them, to "fuck off we will no longer buy your oil."      But that would just be mental masturbation.  

Or we could topple them, implement martial law, and install a secular strongman dictator. 

Americans can’t stomach $4.50 per gallon gas, and we need Saudi oil in the market as we continue to squeeze Iran.

It sucks but they are a necessary ally for now. There’s a difference between an ally and a friend. We teamed up with the Soviets to fight Germany.

32 minutes ago, Buzzrock said:

Americans can’t stomach $4.50 per gallon gas, and we need Saudi oil in the market as we continue to squeeze Iran.

It sucks but they are a necessary ally for now. There’s a difference between an ally and a friend. We teamed up with the Soviets to fight Germany.

They’re not an ally.   Didn’t MBS effectively say that if the US does anything in terms of sanctions, their response is shutting down the pumps?   That is akin to Putin  saying that his reaction to our sanctions will be nuclear weapons.   It’s taking your biggest threat and using it as your only bargaining chip.   Even Russia knows not to do that.  North Korea doesn’t do that.

Remember when Canada publicly complained about Saudi jailing women activists?  All saudis (students and those in hospitals) were order to leave Canada by the KSA govt.   they were going to punish Canada for discussing human rights.

KSA is telling their world that it’s their way do their highway. Their reactions are nowhere proportional to an threat.  That won’t or can’t be allowed. 

Freeze all Saudi assets in the US/Europe and kick out every member of the royal family out of these countries.  The king and crown prince won’t be in power 24 hours later.   They might be alive in a palace surrounded by guards but that doesn’t mean their running the govt. 

7 hours ago, FondrenRoad said:

Or we could topple them, implement martial law, and install a secular strongman dictator. 

How do you think that would play out with the rest of the middle east and the rest of the world?

~~~

I watched a little bit of cable news yesterday and happened to catch the Cheeto talking about how the recent arms sale to Saudi Arabia is the biggest sale ever done.  It was typical Cheeto bluster about the biggest, hugest whatever, but it got me to thinking that it might not be a coincidence that SA is taking on a more active role in the middle east (Yemen) and building it's military (arms sales).  This would seem to be the natural course of events after the USA (Obama) refused to be their puppet in attacking Iran (et al.). 

We (Joe Public) aren't privy to all the diplomatic discussions that take place between nations and heads of state, but there was a point a few years ago when SA was upset and making a lot of noise about relations with the USA and it all sort of faded away quietly.  Maybe we are now seeing the reason for the fade.

I've said it before, but we've made a deal with the devil in SA.  As long as we are dependent upon the current fiat monetary system, we will be dependent upon them.

They’re not an ally.   Didn’t MBS effectively say that if the US does anything in terms of sanctions, their response is shutting down the pumps?   That is akin to Putin  saying that his reaction to our sanctions will be nuclear weapons.   It’s taking your biggest threat and using it as your only bargaining chip.   Even Russia knows not to do that.  North Korea doesn’t do that.
Remember when Canada publicly complained about Saudi jailing women activists?  All saudis (students and those in hospitals) were order to leave Canada by the KSA govt.   they were going to punish Canada for discussing human rights.
KSA is telling their world that it’s their way do their highway. Their reactions are nowhere proportional to an threat.  That won’t or can’t be allowed. 
Freeze all Saudi assets in the US/Europe and kick out every member of the royal family out of these countries.  The king and crown prince won’t be in power 24 hours later.   They might be alive in a palace surrounded by guards but that doesn’t mean their running the govt. 


They’re an ally. And MBS is a POS.
Americans can’t stomach $4.50 per gallon gas, and we need Saudi oil in the market as we continue to squeeze Iran.

It sucks but they are a necessary ally for now. There’s a difference between an ally and a friend. We teamed up with the Soviets to fight Germany.


Trump called Canada a threat despite being our biggest oil supplier. He has no problem throwing tariffs on China and screwing over our farmers and needing to bail them out with tax payer money. So why can’t the world greatest negotiator say a single word to the Saudi’s.

Anything to the reports that US intelligence knew of credible threats to his life and didn't warn him b/c it was SA?

Not sure how "intelligence" would even go about warning an individual citizen, or how this guy wouldn't have known he was in some sort of danger, but the US position on sanctions/retaliation is really weakened if complicit.

22 minutes ago, shnsajax said:

 


Trump called Canada a threat despite being our biggest oil supplier. He has no problem throwing tariffs on China and screwing over our farmers and needing to bail them out with tax payer money. So why can’t the world greatest negotiator say a single word to the Saudi’s.

 

Did you hear they bought a whole floor in one of his buildings?  These guys come and spend 40 50 million dollars at his properties. 

His words. Does Trudeau do that? Nope. Rich Chinese do buy in Manhattan, but not really in Trump buildings. His clientele is mostly Russian and Arab, not surprisingly. 

17 hours ago, Hugo Stiglitz said:

We are the United States. Why should we give a flying fuck about hurting Saudi Arabia’s feelings?

Trump is just showing how much of a compromised coward he is in all this. 

We don’t seem to have a problem with hurting the feelings of our closest allies, countries that shed blood and lost lives alongside us  in Afghanistan and Iraq.   

But we don’t want to offend countries who literally butcher dissidents in other countries.  

Apparently Khashoggi was pretty tight at one time with OBL and the head of Saudi intelligence.  He (Khashoggi) apparently also lived in Virginia (at least part time).  What are the odds that this guy was a CIA asset (and probably why the neoconservatives are so pissed)?

good god, how long does it take the Saudis and the Trump Administration to get their version of what happened out?

Colluding out in the open is one thing, but the amount of time it is taking is total incompetence.

13 minutes ago, bernorange said:

Apparently Khashoggi was pretty tight at one time with OBL and the head of Saudi intelligence.  He (Khashoggi) apparently also lived in Virginia (at least part time).  What are the odds that this guy was a CIA asset (and probably why the neoconservatives are so pissed)?

He was buddies with Osama Bin Laden.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dmF7vOX1SJc

 

Edited by Amobie

1 hour ago, shnsajax said:

 


Trump called Canada a threat despite being our biggest oil supplier. He has no problem throwing tariffs on China and screwing over our farmers and needing to bail them out with tax payer money. So why can’t the world greatest negotiator say a single word to the Saudi’s.

 

The answer to pretty much anything Trump does is "he could have handled it better". I'm just restating the politics of having SA as a necessary ally.

I think a world free from petroleum dependency will be a better world, and SA is at the top of the reasons why. This cloak and dagger shit is one (horrible) thing, but check out what's about to happen to Israa al-Ghomgham, in broad fucking daylight, and sanctioned by SA.

Global politics makes strange bedfellows.

40 minutes ago, bernorange said:

Apparently Khashoggi was pretty tight at one time with OBL and the head of Saudi intelligence.  He (Khashoggi) apparently also lived in Virginia (at least part time).  What are the odds that this guy was a CIA asset (and probably why the neoconservatives are so pissed)?

How is that apparent?

Saudi Arabia needs us far more than we need them.

The issue isn't what America needs, however, it's what our wealth class needs.

Our wealth class is deeply in bed with Saudi Arabia, so they pay to spread the message that we ALL need Saudi Arabia.

And the conservative water carriers spread the message for free on social media.

bing bong

12 minutes ago, Mapache said:

 

Not only deal with murderers, but sell them instruments of murder. 

24 minutes ago, WhatTheBuck said:

How is that apparent?

Which part?

Quote

... Prior to his disappearance, Khashoggi had been writing op-eds for The Washington Post and was living in Virginia. ...

... A young Osama bin Laden, who was among the US-backed militants fighting the Soviets, invited Khashoggi to Afghanistan to do an interview. ...

... Khashoggi's time in Afghanistan and subsequent coverage as a foreign correspondent launched him into an accomplished career as a journalist and editor in Saudi Arabia.

The media in Saudi Arabia is closely controlled by the Saudi royal family, so as he climbed the ladder of the country's media world, he became closer with its ruling class.

As he rose in prominence, Khashoggi served as a royal adviser, and at times traveled with King Abdullah. Due to a close relationship he had with Prince Turki al-Faisal, the Saudi intelligence chief, it's rumored that Khashoggi also worked as a Saudi spy.

...

https://www.businessinsider.com/missing-saudi-journalist-jamal-khashoggi-ties-to-osama-bin-laden-islamists-2018-10

 

10 minutes ago, FondrenRoad said:

Not only deal with murderers, but ...

... help them murder thousands of people in Yemen.

There are costs and benefits to dealing with Saudi Arabia.  There are also costs and benefits to cutting ties. 

The question I want answered is why did our government want all this information made public? 

Well well well.



But his wife Cruella Deville will, black gloves and all.
5 minutes ago, Bama Chick said:

Well well well.
 

Feel. The. Burn. 

1 minute ago, WhatTheBuck said:

Ah, because he once interviewed bin Laden, he was "pretty tight" with bin Laden in your estimation. "Apparently." 

Wow, that's a stretch. Ramble on. 

Same metrics apply to Brett Kavanaugh?   Of course not. 

1 hour ago, Buzzrock said:

The answer to pretty much anything Trump does is "he could have handled it better". I'm just restating the politics of having SA as a necessary ally.

I think a world free from petroleum dependency will be a better world, and SA is at the top of the reasons why. This cloak and dagger shit is one (horrible) thing, but check out what's about to happen to Israa al-Ghomgham, in broad fucking daylight, and sanctioned by SA.

Global politics makes strange bedfellows.

Agreed, but Trump's insistence that coal is important and wind energy needs to go away only helps to prove he knows shit and doesn't care. Its about him, getting votes, and lining his pockets. Oh and us selling weapons to SA too. 

10 minutes ago, Bama Chick said:

Well well well.
 

This is entirely unexpected.  Good, but unexpected.  

1 hour ago, bad_teammate said:

Saudi Arabia needs us far more than we need them.

The issue isn't what America needs, however, it's what our wealth class needs.

Our wealth class is deeply in bed with Saudi Arabia, so they pay to spread the message that we ALL need Saudi Arabia.

And the conservative water carriers spread the message for free on social media.

bing bong

Who is hurt more by $5 per gallon gas?

10 minutes ago, WhatTheBuck said:

Ah, because he once interviewed bin Laden, he was "pretty tight" with bin Laden in your estimation. ...

I didn't try to make it out to be anything more than it was.  He had a relationship with OBL.  He had relationships with the Saudi royal family (and head of the intelligence apparatus).  I would think that might be (or have been) of interest to the CIA.  Maybe living a stone's throw from Langley was a coincidence. Maybe not.  If he was a CIA asset, it would, IMO, explain the outsized reaction from many of the actors in DC.

15 minutes ago, Nivek said:

Same metrics apply to Brett Kavanaugh?   Of course not. 

Not sure what point you are making here, but if you want to accuse me of being a hypocrite, by all means, state your case.

Considering how many people the Saudis have killed, it's pretty odd people are getting their panties in a bunch over this guy getting whacked.  He was probably working for us.

20 minutes ago, Buzzrock said:

Who is hurt more by $5 per gallon gas?

Saudi Arabia, obviously. Is that a real question?

3 hours ago, shnsajax said:

 


Trump called Canada a threat despite being our biggest oil supplier. He has no problem throwing tariffs on China and screwing over our farmers and needing to bail them out with tax payer money. So why can’t the world greatest negotiator say a single word to the Saudi’s.

 

Because our reserve currency status is the most important advantage/weapon we have. 

7 minutes ago, bad_teammate said:

Saudi Arabia, obviously. Is that a real question?

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7 minutes ago, wildcat09 said:

You used to be a much better poster than this, man.

Please do explain. 

$5/gallon gas is bad for the US economy in multiple ways, but that wasn't the question.

Oil is 90% of their fiscal revenue, and high gas prices in the US lead to a focus on renewable/alternative sources of energy. The world would follow us (it's actually leading in many cases, but we are the prime mover). We would suffer through the transition from oil, but they will completely die. They need to keep everyone hooked on cheap oil in order to save up enough to transition their economy. High oil prices in the US will just accelerate the death of oil.

 

37 minutes ago, Bama Chick said:

Well well well.
 

given that the general thought is that MBS was behind the murder, you have to wonder if even his father is questioning MBS' ability to effectively lead.  The murder of a journalist is setting back their country's growth for years.   Summits like this one can set relationships and partnerships for years.   

The next king of KSA will be ground breaking because he will likely be the first king to NOT be a son of Saud.  But it doesn't mean it has to be MBS.   He was only named crown prince last year when he replaced a cousin.   

While KSA has power, we can't allow them to start murdering people, especially in other countries.   And it's still amazing that they kidnapped and forced the Lebanon PM to retire.  World leaders seem to have just conveniently forgotten that.

 

 

$5/gallon gas is bad for the US economy in multiple ways, but that wasn't the question.
Oil is 90% of their fiscal revenue, and high gas prices in the US lead to a focus on renewable/alternative sources of energy. The world would follow us (it's actually leading in many cases, but we are the prime mover). We would suffer through the transition from oil, but they will completely die. They need to keep everyone hooked on cheap oil in order to save up enough to transition their economy. High oil prices in the US will just accelerate the death of oil.
 


See that wasn’t so hard
12 hours ago, Shmitty said:

I really wish our nation had nothing to do with Saudi Arabia, economically, diplomatically, etc.   It would be so nice to have a president who could tell them, to "fuck off we will no longer buy your oil."      But that would just be mental masturbation.  

 

Where have you gone, John Anderson?


05anderson1-articleLarge.jpg?quality=75&

8 minutes ago, bernorange said:

Please do explain. 

The clear implication in the new right-wing "he was tight with OBL" line is that he was an asshole so he deserved what he got. "He was pretty tight with" is nowhere near remotely the same as "they had a relationship." "He was pretty tight with" = they were fucking friends. If you're going to make that claim, you better have better evidence of their friendship than the fact that he fucking interviewed him. The world is full of great journalists who put their lives on the line every day in conflict zones interviewing assholes. That's extremely shitty evidence that they were friends. For you to parrot the new right-wing bullshit "he was tight with" line, then back off to "I just said they had a relationship" is disingenuous and something you used to be better than.

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