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#38901

That is a really good piece. Here's an excerpt:

If this type of progress is being consistently made by Ukraine (and it is), hollowing out the core of Russian positions in entire sectors, why would Ukraine risk high casualties in a costly wider infantry assault while there are still targets that HIMARS, M777s, drones, and other longer-range weapons can take out at little to no risk, all while the enemy’s morale, numbers, and supply situation weaken?  Many of these targets are far behind the front lines, meaning there is now nowhere Russian forces in the region can feel safe, a situation disastrous for morale.  Weakening the positions behind the front lines also means that if the main line collapses, much more than just that main line will collapse and it is more likely the whole sector could fall quickly.  Instead of weakness or any inability, this methodical, deliberative targeting by Ukraine signals confidence in its ability to continue to damage Russia at times and pacing of its choosing, a mature patience on the part of Ukraine that will yield significant results over time at relatively low cost.

Yet plenty of experts and reporters seem puzzled, as massive formations of Ukrainian forces not pouring into Kherson city and forcefully pushing the Russian lines back mean, from their perspective, there must not be any real Ukrainian counteroffensive or that it is stalled.  But Ukraine is not basing the timing of its operations to satisfy the impatience of itchy Twitter fingers of reporters and analysts who find it easier to tweet, write, and comment about heavy “action,” and it seems many takes on the war in the south are missing the bigger picture.

Contrary to such views, the offensive is very much underway, with Ukraine simply taking a prudent, risk-averse strategy while it can still easily hit Russian targets far behind the front lines.  Unlike Russia, Ukraine actually highly values the lives of its soldiers, a major factor in morale, as Ukrainian soldiers can count on their commanders to not throw their lives away carelessly or needlessly, unlike the clear, callous indifference that permeates Russian command (which I have detailed before).  And the very nature of the conflict is now defined by Russia’s inability to produce anything but marginally successful advances (if any progress at all) and Ukraine’s purposeful approach to strike Russian targets one-by-one with precision, distance weapons while keeping its own forces as much out of harm’s way as it can where it can.

And Ukraine can do all this knowing it is and will be getting more and better weapons and equipment from the West as we well as more well-trained Ukrainian troops from an increasing Western series of training missions.

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  • AUS-97HORN
    AUS-97HORN

    For the love of Christ woman,  stop posting the same fucking thing every 20 mins just to make your neurotic self feel better.     Bring something useful to the thread other than your inane babbli

  • Im_smarter_then_you
    Im_smarter_then_you

  • InkaUtexas
    InkaUtexas

    I volunteered today. Log/Admin role to replace people for 30-60 days. The operation is in the west, or should the Orcs win will be pulled back behind the NATO wall. Either way the humanitarian effort

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#38911
40 minutes ago, texastough said:

also this

It's really interesting to consider in terms of military conflict, air superiority is usually means to and end of having air support to attack behind enemy lines and disrupt their supply lines. Thanks to HIMARS and loitering munitions and drones Ukraine is able to realize the same strategic and tactical outcome without air superiority, which really turns the modern paradigm on its head

#38915
2 hours ago, atomheartbevo said:

President Fidgety is back.

 

Can someone ask what he thinks about being in historically German land?

#38935
also this

Lot of conversation happening around this post.

Mostly questions of if HARMS, GMLRS, and HIMARS pushed the AA systems 100km plus from the front and RU is afraid to fly in support of troops on the front then what is the combined arms air component/air superiority now? Drone recon?
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#38948

I know NAFO is getting all the love these days but some respek for the OG Dog, Patron

 

 

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#38950
8 minutes ago, RDCanecutter said:

Leslie gave me a beer once.

A friend and I gave Leslie a super trampy faux leopard skin coat that my friend had (never got that story, but I suspect she looked rather good in it).  In exchange, he recorded a nifty little gag video greeting for us that we used at a law firm presentation.  As always, Leslie was a hit.  And again, likely more competent than a sizable portion of the Russian military.

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