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#77051
16 minutes ago, BamaATL said:
A few hours ago Russian state media were bragging about their "superior" new Yasreb-AV counter battery radar which Russian troops have started using in Ukraine.A few minutes ago the Ukrainian military released a video of the system being destroyed by two GMLRS rockets.🙃

 

 

76ad8ec5-2e9c-4c77-b0c0-0e03a5d19839_tex

 

 

 

 

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  • AUS-97HORN
    AUS-97HORN

    For the love of Christ woman,  stop posting the same fucking thing every 20 mins just to make your neurotic self feel better.     Bring something useful to the thread other than your inane babbli

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    I volunteered today. Log/Admin role to replace people for 30-60 days. The operation is in the west, or should the Orcs win will be pulled back behind the NATO wall. Either way the humanitarian effort

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#77052
1 hour ago, atomheartbevo said:

@BamaATL

Looks like it true. It found the right trajectory of the shell with 100% accuracy.

 

Comrade, what does our motherlands superior radar tell us about the missile?  

It has constant bearing and decreasing range commander!   

Excellent work comrade...Excelle.....

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#77053

And now we get video of it.  Real great tracking considering I count at least 2 UAV views of it, perhaps 3.

 

#77054
Good performance by a Ukrainian crew of a ZU-23-2, shooting down a Russian cruise missile.Source: https://t.co/qDVPvaJm86#Ukraine— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar)

 

This Russian 2S4 “Tulip” was detected by the Ukrainian “Shadow” unit and subsequently destroyed. The powerful explosion literally incinerates everything around hit.Source: https://t.co/Acev3DQN2l#Ukraine— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar)

 

 

#77055

The economist has an interview with Zelensky

https://www.economist.com/europe/2024/01/01/a-new-years-interview-with-volodymr-zelensky

 

Zelensky makes several other blunt points:1. “The West has lost a sense of urgency and many Ukrainians have lost a sense of existential threat” 2/
Context: British defence intelligence sources estimate that, on current trends, Russia will have suffered more than 500,000 casualties, killed and wounded, by 2025. 4/

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1742290564857368834.html

#77056
SEVASTOPOL... BAVOVNA 🔥🔥🔥

 

Multiple places saying explosions in Sevastopol.

#77057

Good article about how to increase artillery shell production - lower the requirements.

Makes a lot of sense given the conditions on the ground.

 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/craighooper/2024/01/02/want-200000-155mm-artillery-shells-a-month-for-ukraine-simplify-production/?sh=27bbe6b6c08a

Quote

Want 200,000 155mm Artillery Shells A Month For Ukraine? Simplify Production

It is no secret the artillery fight for Ukraine has devolved into a battle for mass. The West, hoping to pump at least 200,000 155mm rounds a month into the Ukraine fight, is reaching into old stockpiles and even exploring the idea of refurbishing expired shells. These are all viable stopgaps, but, as the West’s ammunition production infrastructure struggles to scale up in 2024, the artisanal, hand-crafted aspects of post-Cold War artillery manufacturing merits some tough scrutiny.

Production is key.

America is set to produce at least 100,000 155mm shells a month by 2025, leaving Europe with the task to boost domestic production of 155mm shells by 150% over the course of 2024.

That is a heavy lift. To beat Russia in the production fight, the West has an obligation to explore every avenue to speed shells to the front. And while raiding old stockpiles and refurbishing expired munitions may offer some relief to Kyiv’s shell-hunger, Ukraine’s allies can do more to speed production by scrubbing their artillery production processes of un-needed and un-necessary requirements.

Excessive requirements are a big problem. To eke the maximum safety, shelf-life, and performance out of each and every shell, Western artillery ammunition is over-engineered—and then, on top of already daunting engineering requirements, the shells are subjected to an array of boutique national requirements.

Having each Western shell lovingly crafted to the exacting tolerances of a Formula 1 race-car engine offers measurable benefit. In ideal circumstances, Allied artillery systems outrange, outfire and hit harder than equivalent Russian systems. But conditions are no longer as ideal.

Any benefit from the West’s exquisite ammunition machining requirements and other time-consuming ammo production steps are likely offset by the degraded field conditions of an actual wartime environment.

Put another way, precision ammunition machining doesn’t make much difference when the shell goes up an overused gun barrel that, in peacetime, would have long been consigned to the scrapheap thousands of shells ago.

This isn’t to say that precision weapons aren’t needed, but a rough-and-ready “deployable” shell—just like the rough and ready M-109 self-propelled gun—is perfectly fine for repulsing Russian human wave attacks. Precision aiming is less of a concern when Ukraine fighters just want to keep hungry and cold Russian conscripts heads-down in their trenches.

Western ammunition is also designed with long-term storage in mind. With a big conventional war long being pretty much an “unthinkable” thing for Europe, frequent artillery employment was secondary to the West’s pursuit of long-term ammunition stability. Long-term ammunition reliability and easy decommissioning after lengthy storage have dominated Western shell requirements.

These peacetime priorities were the correct things for unchallenged armies to pursue. A long-lasting, stable and easy-to-decommission ammunition stockpile is a great thing, but when newly-produced shells are arriving at the front and used within days, some safety and storage features—if they make production more time-consuming or more costly—can be jettisoned.

Speeding ammo production or rapid design changes to advance lethality may not sit well with rear area warrior bureaucrats. In sclerotic procurement systems, change only comes after years of unnecessary study, debate and gamesmanship. Put bluntly, it will take some ruthless leadership to identify and cut requirements that, in the heat of battle, are no longer relevant.

Cherished rice bowls will break. Old, longstanding methods may go away. But, right now, the overarching priority—at least for general purpose artillery ammunition—is lower price and greater speed.

Anything less helps Russia.

 

#77058

Along the same theme as the post above, here is an opinion piece from the WSJ Op-Ed house liberal (sympathetic to administration). The key takeaway- the path to Ukraine defeat starts with not getting them enough artillery. Blame the U.S., blame Europe, blame whomever, but this was completely foreseeable over a year ago. 
 
https://www.wsj.com/articles/ukraine-may-have-to-accept-a-cease-fire-putin-orban-congress-aid-89f9932a?st=wh5ldjq5iw8a8tx&reflink=mobilewebshare_permalink

#77059

You mean it's going to take an overwhelming amount of ammo and support from a group of allies to defeat a much larger enemy?

mark-shark-tank.gif

#77061
10 hours ago, Superhero said:

Good article about how to increase artillery shell production - lower the requirements.

Makes a lot of sense given the conditions on the ground.

 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/craighooper/2024/01/02/want-200000-155mm-artillery-shells-a-month-for-ukraine-simplify-production/?sh=27bbe6b6c08a

 

I would argue against the lowering the requirements for a lot of reasons, but the biggest actually doesn't have to do with the shells themselves.  I think it would be far more cost effective to invest in the FPV drones, which have shown to be far more effective.  

#77062
“Tatarintsev is roaming free. I am going to my daughter’s grave, while he is going to a barbecue with his friends.”Russian convicts released to fight in Ukraine are now coming back home – and some have begun to reoffend.@polinaivanovva reports:https://t.co/GN9c42GRLY

 

Russian channels like “Zhest Belgorod” distributed videos and pictures of missile fragments, which damaged civilian properties in Belgorod. However, once they realized that those were the booster sections of 23Ya6 missiles of the Russian Pantsir-S1 air defense system, they…— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar)

 

 

#77063
The NATO countries Germany, the Netherlands, Romania and Spain under the umbrella of the NATO’s Support & Procurement Agency (NSPA) agreed to procure 1,000 Patriot missiles. The company "COMLOG" in Schrobenhausen, Germany, a Joint Venture between MBDA Deutschland…— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar)

 

BREAKING:Norway announces it is sending 2 F-16s fighter jets to Denmark on which Ukrainian pilots will be training.🇳🇴🇺🇦
#77064
whats the number one news in russia today?bombings, the war, loved ones lost????? no

 

the next time someone says sanctions are not working.... this is RT saying they are....

 

 

#77065
In the Mar'inka direction, Russians are now using MT-LB's to demine Ukrainian land. 🤷‍♂️

 

The Russian army lost another one of its rare "Zoopark-1" counter-battery radar systems. The destruction took place in December 2023 and has been documented only now.Since the full-scale invasion in February 2022, Russia lost 7 vehicles of that type.Source:…— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar)

 

 

#77066

More Bradleys footage.

Fresh footage of the Bradley IFV using the 25mm cannon against Russian forces, presumably in Avdiivka operational area.https://t.co/Tjcm7hN1gW

 

#77067

 

1) Russia remains committed to subjugating Ukraine
The study argues that Russian leadership, including Putin and top officials, have thoroughly indoctrinated the Russian people with the notion that Ukraine is a historical part of Russia that must be brought under Moscow’s control. Putin has made reclaiming Ukraine central to his 2024 re-election campaign and revisionist historical narratives are being spread in Russian schools and media.

Therefore, even if the current war ends, a future Russian regime is likely to renew aggression against Ukraine to achieve these ingrained national objectives. Freezing the conflict short of total liberation risks enabling Russia to eventually fulfill its irredentist aims — and sustaining peace is possible only if the Russia-Ukrainian frontier is defensible long-term.

2) The current lines are indefensible
With major Ukrainian population centers like Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, and Kharkiv near the current frontlines, Ukraine would have to maintain a fully mobilized military just to hold static defensive lines. This would be enormously expensive and socially disruptive over the long run.

image.thumb.png.7fc474ba484c36ae44bf401d6115db43.png
 

In contrast, the pre-February 2022 borders provided strategic depth that allowed for a more efficient defense based on absorbing initial attacks and then counterattacking. The current lines afford no space to absorb and delay assaults before reserves can arrive.

Furthermore, a ceasefire would enable Russia to optimize its force posture for future offensives in a way active fighting now prevents.

Moreover, without the Dnipro River defensive line and with Kherson under threat, defending Ukraine’s southern coast and economy would become exponentially more difficult if Russia retains occupied territory in the south.

The report concludes that retaining any occupied territory irreparably compromises Ukraine’s ability to defend itself:

“The lines as they are now, in either case, would leave it to Putin and his successors to determine the financial and social cost Ukraine and its Western backers must bear for Ukraine’s continued survival, and that cost would likely be very high.”

3) Concessions damage core international principles
The report argues that recognizing Russia’s territorial seizures in Ukraine, even in exchange for peace, would undermine critical international laws banning wars of conquest, ethnic cleansing, and other violations of human rights. While negotiations may be underway, the enormous moral and ethical costs of appeasing Russian aggression by allowing it to retain occupied lands must be considered.

4) Crimea and Donbas are strategically and economically vital
If Crimea remains under Russian control, Ukraine’s ability to defend key southern cities like Kherson and Odesa will be dramatically compromised, and its economy critically weakened by loss of access to maritime trade and Black Sea energy reserves.

Thus, for both military and economic reasons, Ukraine liberating Crimea is strategically vital and cannot be bargained away.

Meanwhile, the Donbas region does not offer Ukraine strategic advantages, as its large cities Luhansk and Donetsk are close to the Russian border and thus require a full-fledged Ukrainian fully-mobilized force ready to defend them at all times. However, allowing Russia to retain occupied territory in the Donbas region would deprive Ukraine of vital mining and industrial assets that are critical to its economic future. Furthermore, with cities like Mariupol directly on the current frontlines, accepting the current lines in the east irreparably damages Ukraine’s defensive and economic viability.

In conclusion, the report argues that for Ukraine to achieve lasting security and prosperity, it must regain all occupied territory lost since February 2022. Anything short of total liberation of its internationally recognized borders critically undermines Ukraine’s military, economic, and moral position. There is no acceptable alternative to the complete restoration of Ukraine’s territorial integrity.

#77068
22 minutes ago, bolverk said:

 

1) Russia remains committed to subjugating Ukraine
The study argues that Russian leadership, including Putin and top officials, have thoroughly indoctrinated the Russian people with the notion that Ukraine is a historical part of Russia that must be brought under Moscow’s control. Putin has made reclaiming Ukraine central to his 2024 re-election campaign and revisionist historical narratives are being spread in Russian schools and media.

Therefore, even if the current war ends, a future Russian regime is likely to renew aggression against Ukraine to achieve these ingrained national objectives. Freezing the conflict short of total liberation risks enabling Russia to eventually fulfill its irredentist aims — and sustaining peace is possible only if the Russia-Ukrainian frontier is defensible long-term.

2) The current lines are indefensible
With major Ukrainian population centers like Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, and Kharkiv near the current frontlines, Ukraine would have to maintain a fully mobilized military just to hold static defensive lines. This would be enormously expensive and socially disruptive over the long run.

image.thumb.png.7fc474ba484c36ae44bf401d6115db43.png
 

In contrast, the pre-February 2022 borders provided strategic depth that allowed for a more efficient defense based on absorbing initial attacks and then counterattacking. The current lines afford no space to absorb and delay assaults before reserves can arrive.

Furthermore, a ceasefire would enable Russia to optimize its force posture for future offensives in a way active fighting now prevents.

Moreover, without the Dnipro River defensive line and with Kherson under threat, defending Ukraine’s southern coast and economy would become exponentially more difficult if Russia retains occupied territory in the south.

The report concludes that retaining any occupied territory irreparably compromises Ukraine’s ability to defend itself:

“The lines as they are now, in either case, would leave it to Putin and his successors to determine the financial and social cost Ukraine and its Western backers must bear for Ukraine’s continued survival, and that cost would likely be very high.”

3) Concessions damage core international principles
The report argues that recognizing Russia’s territorial seizures in Ukraine, even in exchange for peace, would undermine critical international laws banning wars of conquest, ethnic cleansing, and other violations of human rights. While negotiations may be underway, the enormous moral and ethical costs of appeasing Russian aggression by allowing it to retain occupied lands must be considered.

4) Crimea and Donbas are strategically and economically vital
If Crimea remains under Russian control, Ukraine’s ability to defend key southern cities like Kherson and Odesa will be dramatically compromised, and its economy critically weakened by loss of access to maritime trade and Black Sea energy reserves.

Thus, for both military and economic reasons, Ukraine liberating Crimea is strategically vital and cannot be bargained away.

Meanwhile, the Donbas region does not offer Ukraine strategic advantages, as its large cities Luhansk and Donetsk are close to the Russian border and thus require a full-fledged Ukrainian fully-mobilized force ready to defend them at all times. However, allowing Russia to retain occupied territory in the Donbas region would deprive Ukraine of vital mining and industrial assets that are critical to its economic future. Furthermore, with cities like Mariupol directly on the current frontlines, accepting the current lines in the east irreparably damages Ukraine’s defensive and economic viability.

In conclusion, the report argues that for Ukraine to achieve lasting security and prosperity, it must regain all occupied territory lost since February 2022. Anything short of total liberation of its internationally recognized borders critically undermines Ukraine’s military, economic, and moral position. There is no acceptable alternative to the complete restoration of Ukraine’s territorial integrity.

This aligns with my thoughts. However, it is written like it is coming directly from Ukraine politicians.

#77069
4 minutes ago, Bevo said:

This aligns with my thoughts. However, it is written like it is coming directly from Ukraine politicians.

The above is a copy/paste from the Euromaidan news article, which supposedly summarizes an Institute for the Study of War report. Candidly, I didn't read the report, which I probably should've done. Here's a link to the report itself for your and others' edification.

#77070

Russian drone and operators sent to hell

The Special Operations Forces (SOF) of the Armed Forces of Ukraine used a HIMARS multiple-launch rocket system on the Russian crew of an unmanned aerial vehicle.

Source: SOF press service

Details: Operators from one of the SOF units on the Zaporizhzhia front detected the crew of a Russian ZALA UAV which was attempting to conduct reconnaissance operations.

The operators aimed and adjusted the fire of a HIMARS belonging to a Defence Forces artillery unit at the Russian target.

The successful hit is shown to have killed the UAV crew and destroyed their transport and the drone itself.

 

 

 

#77071
🔥A tactical bomber Su-34 has burned at the Russian airfield in Chelyabinsk, - GUR.It was worth ~35 million dollars.

 

North Korea has reportedly started transferring short-range ballistic missiles to Russia in recent weeks, as reported by The Wall Street Journal.Iran may start its deliveries this spring.

 

 

#77072
Belgium will send two F-16Bs to Denmark and around fifty people between March and September to participate in the training of Ukrainian pilots. It will involve training not only pilots, but also Ukrainian technicians and mission planners.https://t.co/5cmItVBdwC

Russians having fun driving through minefields.

Another angle of a failed Russian assault near Synkivka in mid December 2023.It shows the absolute carnage in which this Russian detachment has been sent into. Artillery, cluster ammunition, drones, heavy machine guns, everything is pounding them. The 2nd Russian MBT instantly…— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar)
#77074

The Whitehouse just announced they are out of draw down.  Congress is back in session starting next Tuesday, hopefully this gets done quickly next week.  

#77075
21 hours ago, BamaATL said:

You gotta give to get, but happy for these folks.

 

This is like "Texas Fight / OU Sucks"  the second Saturday in October

Edited by TexasEd

#77076
Putin's "United Russia" party has created its own private army and started recruiting. It is called the Espanola PMC, the Defence Intelligence of Ukraine reported.The Espanola formation was previously part of the Vostok battalion as a volunteer unit of Russian hardcore football…

 

#77077
⚡️Ukrainian Strategic Staff reports that Ukrainian forces hit the command post of the russian occupation troops near the temporary occupied Sevastopol.👉Follow@Flash_news_ua
⚡️Footage from temporarily occupied Sevastopol.Video from local socials. 👉Follow@Flash_news_ua

 

#77078

Hadn't heard about this Baltic Jammer before. 

 

I think I found the location of the Baltic Jammer. In Kaliningrad, Russia.Since Dec 15 aircrafts have suffered from navigation errors over south Baltic Sea, on and off. By plotting an assumed max jamming-range for each bad position there is one area standing out: Kaliningrad.

 

 

Edited by Viper

#77079
20 minutes ago, Viper said:

Hadn't heard about this Baltic Jammer before. 

 

I think I found the location of the Baltic Jammer. In Kaliningrad, Russia.Since Dec 15 aircrafts have suffered from navigation errors over south Baltic Sea, on and off. By plotting an assumed max jamming-range for each bad position there is one area standing out: Kaliningrad.

 

 

Would this explain the GPS troubles reported in Finland the last few days?  

#77083
Just now, B00M said:

Why is Poland tolerating that? 

Because if Poland goes to war, NATO goes to war.  So, NATO is holding Poland's leash very, very tightly.

#77084
1 hour ago, Viper said:

Hadn't heard about this Baltic Jammer before. 

 

I think I found the location of the Baltic Jammer. In Kaliningrad, Russia.Since Dec 15 aircrafts have suffered from navigation errors over south Baltic Sea, on and off. By plotting an assumed max jamming-range for each bad position there is one area standing out: Kaliningrad.

 

 

Proof again that Tomorrow Never Dies was Pierce Bronson's best Bond movie.

#77085
24 minutes ago, Brisketexan said:

Because if Poland goes to war, NATO goes to war.  So, NATO is holding Poland's leash very, very tightly.

How the fuck is a jammer that cover majority of your country not an act of war? At the very least I’m immediately transferring long range weapons to Ukraine and giving them permission to fly them through my airspace to take that out. 

#77087

That will DEFINITELY help with Russia's demographic problems.  Start killing your females, you're SURE to see improving population numbers!

#77088
It is now confirmed that Russia used North Korean ballistic missiles with the range of 900 km (500 miles) against Ukraine. There were multiple launches of which the first ended on an open field in Zaporizhzhia. Low North Korean quality is still a plus, but the situation is…— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar)

 

Developing:It is loud in the Russian port city of Novorossiysk. Air defense is active. At this moment it is unclear what they are firing upon.Source: https://t.co/d9MXCxFK1v#Ukraine #Russia #Novorossiysk— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar)

 

#77089
Sladkov talks about a difficult situation for Russians on the Dnieper shores: Ukraine concentrated a powerful EW and drone group there. Goes into some historical cringe at the end.https://t.co/mGjevUnZRZ

 

.@Jack_Watling: "The total defense budgets of the 54 countries supporting Ukraine well exceed $100 billion per month. By contrast, current support for Ukraine costs those states less than $6 billion monthly." https://t.co/CQCcV3Zfz0

 

  • Popular Post
#77090
6 minutes ago, Schulz2.0 said:
It is now confirmed that Russia used North Korean ballistic missiles with the range of 900 km (500 miles) against Ukraine. There were multiple launches of which the first ended on an open field in Zaporizhzhia. Low North Korean quality is still a plus, but the situation is…— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar)

 

Developing:It is loud in the Russian port city of Novorossiysk. Air defense is active. At this moment it is unclear what they are firing upon.Source: https://t.co/d9MXCxFK1v#Ukraine #Russia #Novorossiysk— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar)

 

Re the first tweet....I mean.....FFS.  On one side is Ukraine, and all of our allies.  On the other side, is...LITERALLY....Russia, Iran, and North Korea.

And right here at home, we have a large portion of one of our two parties choosing the side of....yep, the three shitheads.  I truly don't get it, and I never will.  You pick the side of Russia, Iran, and North Korea....WTF?

#77091
19 minutes ago, Schulz2.0 said:
Sladkov talks about a difficult situation for Russians on the Dnieper shores: Ukraine concentrated a powerful EW and drone group there. Goes into some historical cringe at the end.https://t.co/mGjevUnZRZ

 

 

Don't want this part to get buried. Sounds like they've turned it around somewhat. Hopefully, the F-16s can help control the airspace once they're FINALLY put to use.

image.thumb.png.97a6e517007205aadc4acd9795381a8c.png

#77092
8 hours ago, Viper said:

Hadn't heard about this Baltic Jammer before. 

Did you hear about the Baltic Jammer?
Everybody got to go
Did you hear about the Baltic Jammer?
The one that shut the kitchen door

#77096
AN/TWQ-1 Avenger at work, operated by the 1129th Air Defence Missile Regiment 'Bila Tserkva'.

GC_F-HnW4AAe7Lr?format=jpg&name=medium

 

#77097
Pro-Russian channels confirm that in yesterday's strike against the Russian airbase in Saky around 23 Russian soldiers were killed, among them 5 high ranking members and 9 from the special forces.The same channels complain that the Russian air defense in the Russian-occupied…— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar)

 

Ukrainian special forces again visited Belgorod Region The operation was carried out by special forces of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ukrainian Defense Ministry. They mined a road that the occupiers used for military logistics, and they also attacked a Russian…

 

 

#77098
Video of a Ukrainian air burst FPV strike on Russian soldiers near Robotyne next to two destroyed T-90A tanks. https://t.co/AXng1QdNWuhttps://t.co/kyfFDhtRpg

 

Germany updated the list of military assistance provided to Ukraine:• ammunition for LEOPARD 2 A6;• 10 MARDER IFVs;• IRIS-T SLM missiles;• 1 air defence system SKYNEX with ammunition;• 2 air surveillance radar TRML-4D;• 9080 of 155mm ammunition;• 2 mine clearing…

 

 

#77099
FPV operators of the 47th mechanized brigade operating in the Avdiivka direction flew an FPV drone deep inside a trench.Caught in 4K, and roasted in 4K celsius.
#77100

So seems like some countries don't like their citizens fighting over there.

KATHMANDU, Jan 5 (Reuters) - Nepal has stopped issuing permits to its citizens to work in Russia and Ukraine until further notice, an official said on Friday, after at least 10 Nepali soldiers were killed while serving in the Russian army.

Nepal has asked Russia not to recruit its citizens in the Russian army and to immediately send all Nepali soldiers back to the Himalayan nation and compensate the families of those killed.

The government has said that up to 200 Nepali citizens were estimated to be working in the Russian army, and foreign minister N.P. Saud told state-run RSS news agency that about 100 Nepalis are reported to be missing.

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/nepal-halts-work-permits-russia-ukraine-after-soldiers-killed-2024-01-05/

Edited by InkaUtexas

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