February 14, 20196 yr 15 hours ago, Huckleberry said: Seems like a completely reasonable starting spot. But but but they're obviously ignoring one of college football's premier statisticians, Bill Connelly, predicting Texas will only win 7.5 games next year (and his confidence in his analytics based on the fact that Herman has never "beaten" the S&P+ two years in a row)!
February 14, 20196 yr 1 hour ago, Katfid54 said: But but but they're obviously ignoring one of college football's premier statisticians, Bill Connelly, predicting Texas will only win 7.5 games next year (and his confidence in his analytics based on the fact that Herman has never "beaten" the S&P+ two years in a row)! I owe Connelly a debt of gratitude, if he is the one who convinced Vegas to put Georgia up as a 12-13 point overdog (cue Bevo attack). No way to pass that up.
February 14, 20196 yr 24 minutes ago, Tex Long said: I owe Connelly a debt of gratitude, if he is the one who convinced Vegas to put Georgia up as a 12-13 point overdog (cue Bevo attack). No way to pass that up. Pretty sure that's not how Las Vegas works.
February 14, 20196 yr Texas checks in at 26 (WTF?!?) in ESPN’s FPI preseason list:http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/25988761/clemson-tigers-get-best-alabama-crimson-tide-again-fpi-preseason-rankings
February 14, 20196 yr 8 minutes ago, mdleast said: Texas checks in at 26 (WTF?!?) in ESPN’s FPI preseason list:http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/25988761/clemson-tigers-get-best-alabama-crimson-tide-again-fpi-preseason-rankings Maybe we'll beat THEM by 26!
February 14, 20196 yr 24 minutes ago, mdleast said: Texas checks in at 26 (WTF?!?) in ESPN’s FPI preseason list:http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/25988761/clemson-tigers-get-best-alabama-crimson-tide-again-fpi-preseason-rankings One problem the polls -- and humans in general -- have is that they fail to divorce themselves from win-loss records. SEC is def the place for aggy. Wins? who cares.. SEC!
February 14, 20196 yr I hope Herman nails this to the whiteboard in the locker room: One of the teams expected to generate plenty of preseason buzz is Texas. But not from FPI. The hype that the Longhorns have finally produced is, in our model's estimation, overstated. Tom Herman's team checks in at No. 26 in our rankings, just missing the cut for our accompanying table (you can find them in the full rankings at the end of this post). Though Texas took strides last season, it had the benefit of starting 13 seniors and graduate students. Even with a cumulative top-five recruiting rank over the past four seasons, the fact that Texas is returning just eight starters is very likely to be a problem. As a result, FPI believes Texas is not one of the top 25 teams in college football and will more closely resemble Iowa State or Baylor than Oklahoma in 2019.
February 14, 20196 yr Losing 13 senior starters is not bothering me at all. I actually believe we will be better next year. I think defensively we are gonna be a lot more sound. FPI can suck it.
February 14, 20196 yr Yeah, apparently ESPN didn't watch any tape on those 13 seniors and grad students. Such a tragic loss. We still have question marks, but less than we did last year imo. Another year of Yancy. Another year of this coaching staff. Another stud recruiting class. I wish kickoff was this weekend.
February 14, 20196 yr Posting to document how ESPN Preseason FPI doubts Texas for 2019.... Preseason FPI 1.0 Rankings, Top 25 RANK TEAM FPI OFFENSE RANK DEFENSE RANK SPECIAL TEAMS RANK 1 Clemson 29.0 1 2 21 2 Alabama 27.6 2 1 7 3 Georgia 22.0 4 7 24 4 LSU 21.5 8 5 20 5 Michigan 21.0 6 9 1 6 Oklahoma 19.3 3 29 30 7 Notre Dame 18.0 9 11 9 8 Florida 17.4 25 4 12 9 Auburn 16.6 28 6 6 10 Oregon 16.4 5 22 36 11 Texas A&M 15.9 7 31 3 12 Penn State 15.4 22 8 4 13 Ohio State 13.8 27 12 16 14 Michigan State 13.8 55 3 19 15 Tennessee 13.7 18 19 10 16 Mississippi State 13.5 23 14 35 17 Washington 13.3 17 21 14 18 Utah 12.4 38 13 13 19 South Carolina 12.1 15 32 26 20 Missouri 11.9 16 26 57 21 UCLA 11.7 14 28 68 22 Florida State 11.3 48 10 40 23 Wisconsin 10.9 19 35 39 24 Stanford 10.3 43 18 2 25 Iowa 10.3 39 20 11 Texas is not back "One of the teams expected to generate plenty of preseason buzz is Texas. But not from FPI. The hype that the Longhorns have finally produced is, in our model's estimation, overstated. Tom Herman's team checks in at No. 26 in our rankings, just missing the cut for our accompanying table (you can find them in the full rankings at the end of this post). Though Texas took strides last season, it had the benefit of starting 13 seniors and graduate students. Even with a cumulative top-five recruiting rank over the past four seasons, the fact that Texas is returning just eight starters is very likely to be a problem. As a result, FPI believes Texas is not one of the top 25 teams in college football and will more closely resemble Iowa State or Baylor than Oklahoma in 2019." (Source ESPN) http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/25988761/clemson-tigers-get-best-alabama-crimson-tide-again-fpi-preseason-rankings Edited February 14, 20196 yr by LTtxfan
February 14, 20196 yr 13 minutes ago, LTtxfan said: Posting to document how ESPN Preseason FPI doubts Texas for 2019.... Preseason FPI 1.0 Rankings, Top 25 RANK TEAM FPI OFFENSE RANK DEFENSE RANK SPECIAL TEAMS RANK 1 Clemson 29.0 1 2 21 2 Alabama 27.6 2 1 7 3 Georgia 22.0 4 7 24 4 LSU 21.5 8 5 20 5 Michigan 21.0 6 9 1 6 Oklahoma 19.3 3 29 30 7 Notre Dame 18.0 9 11 9 8 Florida 17.4 25 4 12 9 Auburn 16.6 28 6 6 10 Oregon 16.4 5 22 36 11 Texas A&M 15.9 7 31 3 12 Penn State 15.4 22 8 4 13 Ohio State 13.8 27 12 16 14 Michigan State 13.8 55 3 19 15 Tennessee 13.7 18 19 10 16 Mississippi State 13.5 23 14 35 17 Washington 13.3 17 21 14 18 Utah 12.4 38 13 13 19 South Carolina 12.1 15 32 26 20 Missouri 11.9 16 26 57 21 UCLA 11.7 14 28 68 22 Florida State 11.3 48 10 40 23 Wisconsin 10.9 19 35 39 24 Stanford 10.3 43 18 2 25 Iowa 10.3 39 20 11 Texas is not back "One of the teams expected to generate plenty of preseason buzz is Texas. But not from FPI. The hype that the Longhorns have finally produced is, in our model's estimation, overstated. Tom Herman's team checks in at No. 26 in our rankings, just missing the cut for our accompanying table (you can find them in the full rankings at the end of this post). Though Texas took strides last season, it had the benefit of starting 13 seniors and graduate students. Even with a cumulative top-five recruiting rank over the past four seasons, the fact that Texas is returning just eight starters is very likely to be a problem. As a result, FPI believes Texas is not one of the top 25 teams in college football and will more closely resemble Iowa State or Baylor than Oklahoma in 2019." (Source ESPN) Randomly, I looked at Missouri's projected depth chart. Looks like they are losing anywhere from 10-15 starters (depending on how you define a starter in this age of heavy rotations) including their fucking starting QB. Guess when you're in the SEC, you reload, while if you're Texas you rebuild.
February 14, 20196 yr 5 minutes ago, Foosters said: Randomly, I looked at Missouri's projected depth chart. Looks like they are losing anywhere from 10-15 starters (depending on how you define a starter in this age of heavy rotations) including their fucking starting QB. Guess when you're in the SEC, you reload, while if you're Texas you rebuild. Not to mention they lost to Oklahoma State (not on the list) in the bowl and got the NCAA banhammer. But yeah, Missouri is primed and ready!
February 14, 20196 yr 4 hours ago, Katfid54 said: Pretty sure that's not how Las Vegas works. Pretty sure they don't operate in the dark. I'd be pretty surprised if there aren't quite a few sports bookies who at least skim Connelly. I'd be even more surprised if some of those who do, then proceed to completely ignore him. And, frankly, I don't give a fuck what the source of the - to me - unbelievably stupid line was, it damn well worked for me.
February 14, 20196 yr Some chuckles: USCe at 19 overall aggy at 7 on offense Pardon me if I don't hold my breath for either of those to match end-of-season results for 2019 Edited February 14, 20196 yr by Magus Ossis
February 15, 20196 yr This is fantastic. I was a little worried everybody would be sucking us off all offseason and we would start thinking we were hot shit. But no, plenty of bulletin board material out there.
February 15, 20196 yr 1 minute ago, Valmy77 said: This is fantastic. I was a little worried everybody would be sucking us off all offseason and we would start thinking we were hot shit. But no, plenty of bulletin board material out there. We have to milk the whole underdog thing. After 10/12/19, we may be ranked above OU in every poll for well over 2 years.
February 15, 20196 yr 5 hours ago, LTtxfan said: Posting to document how ESPN Preseason FPI doubts Texas for 2019.... Preseason FPI 1.0 Rankings, Top 25 RANK TEAM FPI OFFENSE RANK DEFENSE RANK SPECIAL TEAMS RANK 1 Clemson 29.0 1 2 21 2 Alabama 27.6 2 1 7 3 Georgia 22.0 4 7 24 4 LSU 21.5 8 5 20 5 Michigan 21.0 6 9 1 6 Oklahoma 19.3 3 29 30 7 Notre Dame 18.0 9 11 9 8 Florida 17.4 25 4 12 9 Auburn 16.6 28 6 6 10 Oregon 16.4 5 22 36 11 Texas A&M 15.9 7 31 3 12 Penn State 15.4 22 8 4 13 Ohio State 13.8 27 12 16 14 Michigan State 13.8 55 3 19 15 Tennessee 13.7 18 19 10 16 Mississippi State 13.5 23 14 35 17 Washington 13.3 17 21 14 18 Utah 12.4 38 13 13 19 South Carolina 12.1 15 32 26 20 Missouri 11.9 16 26 57 21 UCLA 11.7 14 28 68 22 Florida State 11.3 48 10 40 23 Wisconsin 10.9 19 35 39 24 Stanford 10.3 43 18 2 25 Iowa 10.3 39 20 11 Texas is not back "One of the teams expected to generate plenty of preseason buzz is Texas. But not from FPI. The hype that the Longhorns have finally produced is, in our model's estimation, overstated. Tom Herman's team checks in at No. 26 in our rankings, just missing the cut for our accompanying table (you can find them in the full rankings at the end of this post). Though Texas took strides last season, it had the benefit of starting 13 seniors and graduate students. Even with a cumulative top-five recruiting rank over the past four seasons, the fact that Texas is returning just eight starters is very likely to be a problem. As a result, FPI believes Texas is not one of the top 25 teams in college football and will more closely resemble Iowa State or Baylor than Oklahoma in 2019." (Source ESPN) http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/25988761/clemson-tigers-get-best-alabama-crimson-tide-again-fpi-preseason-rankings Michigan #5 ?
February 15, 20196 yr On 2/12/2019 at 10:06 AM, Nope said: Which player are you guys looking forward to seeing the most next year? For me it’s Ingram, easily. His vision plus the added physicality (will probably add at least 10 lbs of muscle courtesy of Yancy) is going to be a nightmare for opposing defenses. I know I'm late to this party but I'm going with JWhitt on offense and BJ Foster on defense.
February 15, 20196 yr 7 hours ago, Foosters said: Randomly, I looked at Missouri's projected depth chart. Looks like they are losing anywhere from 10-15 starters (depending on how you define a starter in this age of heavy rotations) including their fucking starting QB. Guess when you're in the SEC, you reload, while if you're Texas you rebuild. aggy that high is a head scratcher too. They lose 7 starters on D including the top 6 tacklers They also lose the 1700 yard RB, their leading receiver, and key OL guys.
February 15, 20196 yr On 2/12/2019 at 10:06 AM, Nope said: Which player are you guys looking forward to seeing the most next year? For me it’s Ingram, easily. His vision plus the added physicality (will probably add at least 10 lbs of muscle courtesy of Yancy) is going to be a nightmare for opposing defenses. I know it says one but imma do Defense and Offense. defense: Joseph Ossia- going to be a complete monster next year. offense: toss up between Moore and Whittington.
February 15, 20196 yr I think it's funny that we are getting shit on for losing 13 seniors ("ha-ha! you're losing so many great players, you're gonna suck next year!"), but we're also getting shit on because we only had 3 players invited to the combine ("ha-ha! none of the players you're losing are any good!"). We're either losing a lot of talent, or we're not. It can't be both. Oh well, as others have stated, I'm glad we've got a steady supply of bulletin board material flowing.
February 15, 20196 yr Just now, TexasPride10 said: because we only had 3 players invited to the combine 5
February 15, 20196 yr Loved hearing Slippery Rock scores announced at Texas FB games in the past...... Slippery Rock (D-II – PA): Slippery Rock University is seeking a part-time coach to coach the Defensive Backs. Previous playing experience is required and previous coaching experience is preferred. This position will be given the title of Defensive Backs Coach along with full responsibility of the development of that position as well as a recruiting territory. Compensation is $10k. Position is required to star this Spring. Please send resumes to domenick.razzano@sru.edu. Edited February 15, 20196 yr by LTtxfan
February 15, 20196 yr 30 minutes ago, LTtxfan said: Should be 7...... Beck & Nelson left out. They're the definition of edge cases for combine invites. 5's fine.
February 15, 20196 yr 14 hours ago, ShaggyBevo RIP said: aggy that high is a head scratcher too. They lose 7 starters on D including the top 6 tacklers They also lose the 1700 yard RB, their leading receiver, and key OL guys. That's pretty funny. We're going back to garbage status because we are losing seniors who are apparently irreplaceable. aggy losing the entire heart of their defense but somehow getting better. SEC, SEC!!
February 15, 20196 yr Texas checks in at 26 (WTF?!?) in ESPN’s FPI preseason list:http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/25988761/clemson-tigers-get-best-alabama-crimson-tide-again-fpi-preseason-rankingsAlgorithm includes results from last 4 years.... We have a loss to Kansas in there... And a bunch of other losses... So, we aren't as good as Missouri...
February 15, 20196 yr Loved hearing Slippery Rock scores announced at Texas FB games in the past......Slippery Rock (D-II – PA): Slippery Rock University is seeking a part-time coach to coach the Defensive Backs. Previous playing experience is required and previous coaching experience is preferred. This position will be given the title of Defensive Backs Coach along with full responsibility of the development of that position as well as a recruiting territory. Compensation is $10k. Position is required to star this Spring. Please send resumes to domenick.razzano@sru.edu.That's almost minimum wage.
February 15, 20196 yr On 2/14/2019 at 10:54 AM, Machinator said: Jared Wiley and Roschon Johnson are #TeamTopButton... dynamic duo in the making?
February 15, 20196 yr 32 minutes ago, SurlyBDR said: Jared Wiley and Roschon Johnson are #TeamTopButton... dynamic duo in the making? So was Charlie Strong. Doomed.
February 15, 20196 yr 1 minute ago, Machinator said: Fedora and Beaty on the staff next year will be nice
February 16, 20196 yr On 2/11/2019 at 10:29 AM, sushihorn said: Warning: Nerd Rant Connelly seems to forget that real world data is a t-distribution, not a z-distribution (perfect bell curve). Leptokurtosis is one of the coolest words in the English language.
February 16, 20196 yr 11 hours ago, Machinator said: That is one of the silliest things I've ever seen. But, hey, if the kids like it...
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