March 31, 20196 yr Poster, Current Score, EV B, 61, 83.85 JJ, 55, 71.18 G, 69, 69.00 D, 50, 50.00 BB, 38, 43.45 E, 31, 36.16 J, 31, 31.00 EE, 25, 25.00 Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) B - 52.63% (18) JJ - 35.36% (12) Tie - 12.01% (2) G - 0.00% (0) D - 0.00% (0) BB - 0.00% (0) EE - 0.00% (0) J - 0.00% (0) E - 0.00% (0) G has no chance to win outright, but both possible ties are between B and G.
March 31, 20196 yr With Auburn's win I have clinched. Update: Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) Huckleberry - 100.00% (16) HornOnTheBayou - 0.00% (0) Capn81 - 0.00% (0) Jack Straw - 0.00% (0) Tie - 0.00% (0) Goo Punch - 0.00% (0) IPoopOnWhoop - 0.00% (0) Bartles - 0.00% (0) BigOrange1 - 0.00% (0) Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 107, 125.41 Capn81, 54, 68.49 HornOnTheBayou, 47, 54.18 Jack Straw, 49, 49.00 IPoopOnWhoop, 42, 42.00 Goo Punch, 36, 36.00 BigOrange1, 24, 24.00 Bartles, 21, 21.00 Paypal address is huckleberry@adjustedstats.com
March 31, 20196 yr @BradInATX - your contest updates: Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) B - 83.12% (13) JJ - 16.88% (3) Tie - 0.00% (0) G - 0.00% (0) D - 0.00% (0) BB - 0.00% (0) EE - 0.00% (0) J - 0.00% (0) E - 0.00% (0) Poster, Current Score, EV B, 81, 83.85 JJ, 55, 71.18 G, 69, 69.00 D, 50, 50.00 BB, 38, 43.45 E, 31, 36.16 J, 31, 31.00 EE, 25, 25.00
March 31, 20196 yr Thanks Huck. Auburn done good, except that it wrecked my actual bracket in another pool whereI had UK as my champ.
March 31, 20196 yr Brad, for yours. Poster - Win Probability (# Paths) B - 72.46% (6) JJ - 27.54% (2) Tie - 0.00% (0) G - 0.00% (0) D - 0.00% (0) BB - 0.00% (0) EE - 0.00% (0) J - 0.00% (0) E - 0.00% (0) JJ wins if in the NCG: Michigan State beats Virginia OR Texas Tech beats Virginia Otherwise B, which I'm assuming is you, wins.
March 31, 20196 yr Thats kinda crazy. I don't see Auburn with much of a chance. I'm guessing the model doesn't know their best player is in a wheel chair?
March 31, 20196 yr Correct, no injury information. But it still has Virginia with a 64.7% chance of beating Auburn.
April 1, 20196 yr $25 sent to Huckleberry. Maybe next year we can just pay right after the draft since the formula knows all ☹️
April 3, 20196 yr Congrats to Huck. The lesson learned is that I should have paid more attention in math class.
April 8, 20196 yr Thanks guys. Have money from Goo Punch, Bartles, Jack Straw, HornOnTheBayou, Capn81, and BigOrange. That leaves IPoopOnWhoop, who I know will not let a fellow City supporter down. Don't make me @ a fool. Ha.
April 8, 20196 yr Have a “final” update on the scoring? I was interested to see how it stacked up when all was said and done from 2nd place on.
April 8, 20196 yr Poster, Current Score, EV Huckleberry, 112, 115.52 Capn81, 69, 76.45 HornOnTheBayou, 55, 55.00 Jack Straw, 49, 49.00 IPoopOnWhoop, 42, 42.00 Goo Punch, 36, 36.00 BigOrange1, 24, 24.00 Bartles, 21, 21.00 You have second locked up.
April 8, 20196 yr In @BradInATX's contest, if Texas Tech wins then JJ wins. If Virginia wins then B wins.
April 8, 20196 yr well, my first pick (Oregon) did their thing, it after that jimmy kicks were baaaaad. looking forward to doing it again next year though.
April 8, 20196 yr In [mention=2008]BradInATX[/mention]'s contest, if Texas Tech wins then JJ wins. If Virginia wins then B wins.Yep. Has yours ever come down to the last game? I think this is actually the first time in 4 years that Final 4 weekend even mattered in ours. Thanks again for the idea and running ours through. BTW. we also pay last place their money back. Gives the people who get murdered on the first Thurs/Fri a second chance at rooting interest. Pretty fun twist.
April 8, 20196 yr Author the year villanova beat carolina in the final, i would have won had carolina won so yeah we've gone down to the last game before.
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