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  • It's amazing to think that the most severe flooding seems to have happened after hundreds of thousands of new homes, and thousands of new roads were built on the north end of a waterflow basin.  

  • May god have mercy on your soles!

  • Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Posted Images

Live look at the evacuation.

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3 hours ago, Hate said:

Live look at the evacuation.

HarmfulRightGypsymoth-max-1mb.gif

Well kudos to them, that looks a fuckton better than Houston did some years ago.

Doesn't seem so scary....
tmg-slideshow_l.jpg


I thought I was in Vic’s thread as I was scrolling down.
  • 4 weeks later...

Fuck hurricanes.

30% of a becoming a tropical depression.  Time for my mother in far north Houston to freak out.  Here we go.

Like clockwork.  1st storms of the Atlantic season are damn near always short-spinups in the Gulf.  This year is right in line.

Remember that longer-track (and usually more dangerous) storms usually don't get going until mid-late July.  Of course this season forecast to be quieter (due to Niño).

30% of a becoming a tropical depression.  Time for my mother in far north Houston to freak out.  Here we go.
Make sure to check in with us after you check in on facebook
10 hours ago, MNLonghornFUKM said:
12 hours ago, TexArcher said:
30% of a becoming a tropical depression.  Time for my mother in far north Houston to freak out.  Here we go.

Make sure to check in with us after you check in on facebook

And don't forget your milk and eggs.

Anyway, my money is on a weak tropical storm, this won't have much time over water.

So it’s going to be hot and wet in early June and Houston?  Shocking. Better raid the grocery stores and declare a state of emergency 

  • 1 month later...

George can't be far behind...

All I want to know is my 4th going to get fucked up due to tropical storm asshole in the gulf.

Possibility of some fuckery with a cold front in the gulf.

23 minutes ago, clapclapclap said:

I heard that there's evacuations in Holland tonight after their dykes failed.

ISWYDT

Edited by hornian

Possibility of some fuckery with a cold front in the gulf.
Houston local has it sliding down to Texas, possibly taking the Bandera Trail lol. Regardless, lots of rainc431a66eb3702ff315d66fd904d4f759.jpg
20 minutes ago, Dewey said:

Houston local has it sliding down to Texas, possibly taking the Bandera Trail lol. Regardless, lots of rainc431a66eb3702ff315d66fd904d4f759.jpg

But will ABC still air Iowa St/Texas?

26 minutes ago, MNLonghornFUKM said:

But will ABC still air Iowa St/Texas?

Nope, you’re fucked

From Jeff Linder this morning.

 

Tropical cyclone likely to develop in the Gulf of Mexico this week.

 

Threat has increased westward overnight along the LA and TX coasts.

 

Discussion: 

Mid level (850mb) disturbance over GA is continuing to move SSE/S this morning and will be moving into N FL and eventually the extreme NE Gulf of Mexico over the next 24 hours. Global models are now in good agreement that this feature will work its wat from the 850mb level to the surface resulting in the formation of a tropical depression over the NE Gulf of Mexico. Upper air conditions appear favorable for a tropical system to form and then intensify with a large 200mb high pressure ridge over much of the US Gulf coast and northern Gulf. 

 

Track: 

While there was much spread and disagreement yesterday, starting yesterday afternoon and continuing overnight, that spread has decreased into a solution where any Gulf system would tend to track more westward. The GFS has abandoned the idea of the system remaining close to the FL coast and is now in fair agreement with the ECMWF of a slow westward track across the Gulf of Mexico. Most models now indicate a threat westward along the US Gulf coast toward TX and LA. As mentioned yesterday, both the westward and eastward track solution were viable, and it appears we are starting to see a trend toward the westward solution being the more favored. This more westward solution is likely due to a more WSW movement of the system in the Gulf of Mexico and the formation and building of a mid level high pressure ridge over the southern US mid to late week which would prevent any trough near the Great Lakes from pulling the system northward.

 

Intensity: 

While there is better agreement on the track this morning there remains a lot of spread on the intensity with the ECWMF model continuing to be the strongest. Looking at the upper air and surface features for a moment suggest that any storm in the Gulf will likely intensify. Upper level winds are forecast to be light with the surface feature located under a 200mb anticyclone which will help vent the surface low and provide good upper level outflow. Additionally, the system would appear to move over the warm Gulf waters with temperatures in the 84-86 degree range and per latest oceanic heat content there is plenty of heat content for development. Models also show the system slowing its westward movement allowing a longer time over those warm Gulf waters. A tropical storm is likely and a hurricane is not out of the question. 

 

Impacts: 

For now will not make any changes to the ongoing forecast for late this week/weekend. If forecast models continue to show the westward motion and potential threat to the NW Gulf…significant forecast changes will be required over the next 24-48 hours. 

 

Residents along the US Gulf coast should closely monitor the progress of this system. Check hurricane preparation kits and plans and be ready to enact those plans this week. Monitor weather forecast closely.   

 

Everyone in Houston be like...

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Potential to go right through the offshore oil rigs. I'm not sure a Cat 1 would warrant any evacuations, though.

  • Author

So in the last 100 years the only hurricanes to hit Texas in July were Cat 1's: 

7/15/03 Claudette - Port O'Conner

7/23/15 Dolly - S. Padre Island

7/24/59 Debra - Freeport

7/27/43 "The 1943 Surprise Hurricane" - Bolivar Peninsula/Baytown   https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1943_Surprise_Hurricane

BUT...

7/24-7/26/79 Trop Storm Claudette - Port Arthur, stalled and dumped 42 inches on Alvin in 24 hours, at the time the one-day record.

And if you go back further in time...

7/21/1909 unnamed - Freeport:  a Cat 3 hurricane with a 10-ft storm surge

Edited by clapclapclap

Y'all go ahead and plan on this slipping all the way down to SPI, cause I have a house booked there starting Sunday for a week.

We've got a business fishing trip scheduled for Thurs/Fri at Port O'Connor. Would we be ahead of the storm or should I go ahead and brace myself for a non-short work week?

^^ Doesn’t sound like anybody knows the answer to that yet. But if it doesn’t make it all the way to us, you’ll probably have a bountiful trip. Love fishing after a hurricane farther out in the gulf

Edited by SquishMitten

57 minutes ago, lonestar3 said:

We've got a business fishing trip scheduled for Thurs/Fri at Port O'Connor. Would we be ahead of the storm or should I go ahead and brace myself for a non-short work week?

About 144 hours out as of right now.  Approx 6 days.

1 hour ago, UnivTex34 said:

Y'all go ahead and plan on this slipping all the way down to SPI, cause I have a house booked there starting Sunday for a week.

Same

23 minutes ago, Rip76 said:

About 144 hours out as of right now.  Approx 6 days.

Thanks for the response. Great news. Fishing should be really good right about then.

1 hour ago, LonghornJones said:

Forest Gump had a really successful fishing trip after a storm.

You call that a storm? 

2 hours ago, clapclapclap said:

dumped 42 inches on Alvin in 24 hours, at the time the one-day record.

 

If you go back to last night, I dumped 42 inches in your mom, at the time the one-day record.

18 minutes ago, CoTex said:

If you go back to last night, I dumped 42 inches in your mom, at the time the one-day record.

14 thrusts X 3 inches = 42 inches

I'm headed to Galveston Next Thursday (18th). 

Fingers crossed that the island gets a really nice bath and clears out right before I show up.

 

Sitting on a plane right now in St Lucia ready to come back home. Can report nomassive hurricane here as far as I know.

Expecting some important mail on Thursday (Galveston), fingers crossed

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