Everything posted by GopherRock
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2020 Senate Elections
Put South Carolina up in the "live underdog" tier with Iowa, Montana, Georgia, Bama, and Favorite for Dem pickup: NC, AZ, ME, CO Favorite for Dem loss: Bama (although I'd love to be totally wrong) Live underdogs for a flip: IA, MT, SC, AK, maybe KS? Lottery tickets: KY, GA x 2, TX, and the rest McGrath is turning out to be an awful candidate against Moscow Mitch. The favorites coming in gets the chamber to 50/50. Somehow I think all the underdogs all go the same direction.
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2020 Democratic National Convention
To be fair, Bill Clinton delivered a fantastic speech at the 2016 DNC.
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"Easy" Money Come Election Day (Prediction Market Gambling)
Unless something in my math is wrong, the breakeven point is 94 cents on a contract. I'm basing my calculations off an initial input of $100 instead of 1000 shares, but you'll have to buy at or below 81 cents and win to get enough profit to cover the vig.
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2020 House election thread
I have no idea how good or bad this poll or pollster is, but if it's anywhere accurate Collin Peterson has a really bad starting position. FYI MN-7 is largely farm country along the border with the Dakotas. Has gotten really Trumpy over the last few years.
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Minneapolis Cop Murders A Black Man
More badgecam footage released yesterday. https://www.startribune.com/third-body-camera-video-in-george-floyd-killing-shows-officer-pushing-bystanders/572104552/
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Who gives a shit about Hillary? She's not on the ballot.
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2020 House election thread
Ilhan Omar is feeling some heat from her left flank going into tomorrow's primary. https://www.fox9.com/news/rep-ilhan-omar-antone-melton-meaux-hit-home-stretch-of-5th-district-primary-race The other hot race in Minnesota is the challenger to Collin Peterson up in MN-7. This district has gotten really Trumpy, but so long as Collin stays there, he's delivered too much sugar to the district for him to be sent off on someone else's terms.
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Minneapolis Cop Murders A Black Man
And some wonder why people of color are mad at MPD.
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Donald Trump 2020
"But the one on the far left. He had crazy eyes." Josey Wales
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"it's time for hunters to leave the NRA"
Bill Clinton was going to take your guns, too.
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The GQP: Trumpist Death Cult
You would think that Minnesota Republicans would have learned from their comrades in Wabasha County. You thought wrong. http://citypages.com/news/iron-range-republican-not-sorry-for-coronavirus-holocaust-meme/572019971
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Texas High School Football - what will happen this Fall?
Minnesota and Colorado both move HS football to the spring.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
You would think that a rodeo promoter would know what happens when you mess with a bull.
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Mike Tyson fighting Roy Jones Jr
He ain't gettin' up, Jim!
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
When your opponent is busy destroying themselves, stay out of the way.
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Bill Barr, large dildo.
After watching Adam Schiff run the Intelligence Committee during the impeachment inquiry, Nadler was awful at the helm of Judiciary. Calling it a goat rodeo was an insult to the goat rodeo.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
Anyone else seeing this "America's Frontline Doctors" shit? The fact that it was Breitbart that organized it immediately disqualifies it.
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The GQP: Trumpist Death Cult
Ladies and gentlemen, the Wabasha County Republican Party! https://www.kare11.com/article/news/local/mngop-says-concentration-camp-image-from-wabasha-co-republicans-facebook-page-was-a-hack/89-edcf41eb-ae5a-4a04-8d33-c1422a1d8e60
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Minneapolis Cop Murders A Black Man
Derek Chauvin and his soon-to-be ex charged with 9 state counts of tax fraud. https://www.startribune.com/fired-minneapolis-officer-derek-chauvin-wife-charged-with-tax-crimes/571864051/
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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
She's already one of the better questioners in the House. See her questioning of Michael Flynn.
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Minneapolis Cop Murders A Black Man
Busy day in the reckoning front here. First, the badgecams are starting to be shown to local reporters in 1-hour blocks. Thread below. Second, the families have filed an inevitable wrongful-death suit against the cops and MPD. https://kare11.com/embeds/video/89-1587028/iframe?jwsource=cl https://www.kare11.com/article/news/local/george-floyd/attorney-of-floyd-family-to-announce-civil-lawsuit-against-city-of-minneapolis/89-83504464-061a-4b64-b8a4-cd7c02aa527e For comparison, the family of Justine Damond settled for $20 million, and the family of Philando Castille was ~$3.5 million. This one is going to be a lot more than that. Add this to the estimated $10M to rebuild the 3rd Precinct house, and it's clear that Derek Chauvin is going to cost the Minneapolis taxpayer a pile of money.
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Minneapolis Cop Murders A Black Man
That footage was likely taken on the weekend of May 30-31. The fires have been put out, and many of the rubble piles have been hauled off. But yes, things were in really bad shape during and after the rioting.
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Minneapolis Cop Murders A Black Man
Not sure where he's getting those pictures and video, but that video is old enough to draw Social Security. On an aside, has it already been seven weeks since George Floyd was killed? JFC, this feels like a year.
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Minneapolis Cop Murders A Black Man
Meanwhile, back on topic, you shouldn't be hearing much from either camp about the case itself anytime soon. Gag order put on by the judge.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Those pimping Minnesota as competitive are the same people that don't realize that the tax money goes out of the Twin Cities, not into it. They've controlled chambers of the Legislature on and off since then, but the last statewide Republican win in Minnesota was 2006. Tim Pawlenty needed A) a liberal third-party candidate on the ballot drawing off 10-12% of the DFL vote, and B) a colossal brain fart by the DFL lieutenant governor candidate 2 days before the election to win. The last statewide Republican win with more than 50% of the vote was in 1994.