Everything posted by CleverNickname
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
Not major staples. But things like the kids preferred cereals, the good quesadilla cheese, pita bread. I kinda worry that if I wait 7 to 10 more days then we'd be really out of some stuff, and then it's not just mildly inconvenient but a real bummer. Like, why let get things get too lean?
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
Last 2 curbside / instacarts have left some big holes they they couldn't fill. We could go another week without shopping, but it would mean kids bitching about lack of salty snacks, etc. So... should I just mask up and get it done, or endure sub-optimal food for the duration? I'm not really understanding what the guidance is at the moment.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
Think my yard guy (crew) comes today? I'm guessing they are considered or consider themselves "essential sanitation" or something. I may not be a rich man, but having somebody else mow my yard makes me feel like a rich motherfucker.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
It's the zero point energy power supply of life, if you will.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
Literally in the Basin right now. Park is effectively in government shut down. No visitors centers. Little store is open, but they have a cap on number inside. Basin restaurant is basically take out only plusbthe 4 outside tables. We've eaten 100% of our food from our own stores. I saw only 1 other truck in the state park yesterday. Today may be a little busier - grapevine hills and walking tornillo creek.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
Last laugh on those "asymptomatic" millennials when it turns out the virus attacked their testes and they are infertile.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
I thought the doubling rate was more like 4 to 6 days.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
I have not. I asked as a "non urgent" question. Frankly I dont really expect a straight answer. I expect a "no one really knows."
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
I sent a message to my doc to ask if I should taper from losartan 25mg that helps with my mild hypertension (120/90 with meds). Some thought that ace inhibitors might increase severity of covid symptoms.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
Health plans can waive cost sharing, but they can't force a provider (facility or doctor) to not collect the piece of the pie owed them.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
Panic in the streets. It hit 3:30pm central.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
So over at King County WA Life Care, covid19 has killed 19 of 120 patients. That's already 16%. And I read the other day that they had 11 deaths before the first diagnosis, and usually they'd have 5 or 6. 16%. Not Great. Not Terrible.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
I'm hearing good things about forsythia.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
Real talk: half-assed containment *is* mitigation. Who cares how airtight it is? The point is to slow it down.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
Rumor is that Italy is rationing ICU beds. May have to triage and just let over 60 die.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
One week ago I was pretty sanguine. I am a total doomer, witness my being all over page 1. So for six weeks I watched closely, even bought extra food in the pantry, but wasn't really freaked. My brother in law lives in HK, and so he had a closer perspective. Containment is working there. I'm youngish, my children are hale. The cases in China, SK, and Japan seemed to be leveling off so much. We've been at or under 100k for a long time - steady climbing but it didn't seem out of control. I didn't really believe China's numbers. But there were fewer and fewer exported cases from China - lending some credence to the possibly that China proved it could be contained. Neighboring states seemed to be weathering pretty well. The SK cases were a unique blow up, but even that showed major flare ups could be dealt with. Iran is a shitshow, but I chalked that up to bad government and the impact of years and years of embargos on the health care system. But then Italy and Washington State (and Egypt)... and probably more scare are all the cases those two hotbeds have exported cases. As someone mentioned this AM, there is a case that Las Vegas exported, and we have no idea what things are like there. Now we have SK + Iran + Italy + Wash St + Egypt... probably other clusters across Europe, plus Indonesia and maybe India... just so many more chances to break out. So this weekend, I feel far far worse about things. I do think any given regional blow up can probably be successfully curbed. It might take months, but there is hope. But if there are dozens of regional flare ups? Prediction: Be ready for schools to extend Spring Break 2-3 weeks.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
There are decades when nothing happens; and there are weeks when decades happen. — Lenin.
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Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
- Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
Adler up... local disaster declared. Cancels SXSW- Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
Not started yet. "Will SXSW start Monday?" "We will address that momentarily." (Nit officially started yet)- Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
COA about to cancel SXSW?- Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
I think I mentioned (weeks ago?) that half of SARS survivors never worked again. Chronic fatigue. Maybe that could happen to the 10% with acute pneumonia from Covid19.- Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
Cfr is case fatality rate. Deaths per diagnosed case. Todays total SK numbers are more like 37 deaths on 6008 cases. Still 0.6%. But if many of those cases are in first week, the deaths could quadruple and we are back in scary 2% zone.- Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
SK: 32 deaths; 5200 cases = 0.6% cfr on 80,000 tests.- Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
The good: The bad: - Formerly DT: COVID-19 - Featuring Lots of Politics, now CR because political talk not going away
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