Everything posted by UTDD
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
I got +350, and praying it pays off (and of course umm it's good for the country).
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Lot of action clearly coming for Biden on PA, hope they know the math well or something...
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Only about 13k votes in 2016 it seems.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Well, PA creeping up to -200 from -130. Maybe that's helpful. Woah wait now -245 just within this post, lol.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Michigan is pretty much off the lines at this point -- pretty telling sign.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Oh, that's going to be close possibly...got to run some math on that...
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
PA odds at -145 for Biden, which I think is about right, I think it will be close.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
That won't work, Biden has Nebraska District 2 which is one electoral vote.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
You have to think the side woman did the job a bit...that came out at just the wrong time...
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Odds seem a little stable now for the last 30 minutes.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Current margin is a little less than 89k, so if 250k is accurate, he needs to get almost 70% of that outstanding 250k to win Georgia. (if current #'s accurate)
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
At 250k, 70/30 is 175/75k
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
That will be close, a 75/25 exactly at 200k would give a 13k edge. So he needs a little under 75% of the outstanding.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Earliest time to maybe call it is maybe this early afternoon if Georgia reports everything. I think Michigan will be recount/challenge proof at the end.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
If Biden is lucky enough to take GA and PA, that might be about 306EV. I'm not too keen on NC outstanding votes personally.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
NE-2
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Yeah, I think the feeling is that Nevada and Michigan are pretty locked with outstanding votes, so you don't even need PA or GA to a lot of bettors.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Outstanding votes left in both states mathematically look pretty solid for Biden. (especially Michigan, that's a lock to me)
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
In about an hour, Biden went from -220 to -400.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Yeah, that's where I'm at, I think Trump will get the Maine single.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Yeah that's off Biden wins at 270 with NV, MI, WIS, and without PA. (I think that's right)
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Nevada not releasing final mail-ins until Thursday noon time. Mail ballots received on Election Day...
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Biden now at -360 it's moved pretty fast in last 30 minutes...
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
Wow, the latest counts moved it from -220 to -310 now very quickly.
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2020 Presidential Election -- Biden v Trump: Sleepy Joe vs Dopey Don [Results begin on page 409]
-295 Biden now.