First thing I've seen with a Biden ranking. It's not in easy copy and paste format, but a survey of 150 poly sci guys put Biden 14, Trump last.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/24/opinion/trump-lies-charts-data.html
i remember when i first learned of the +80s and +90s democrats get from black voters. i had no idea there was a such thing as racial polarization. when you go from assuming everyone is 50-50 to seeing that, it totally blows your mind.
random thinking this morning: i predict a female president will feel a need to overcorrect on tough guy / foreign policy image. kamala is smart enough to do that by telling a bunch of nato folks we want orders on our desk for f-15s by the end of the day. this could really be excellent.
Just saw it on the gram. Ford nails it that you have to take an indirect route and inoculate the public to the thought of a woman president, minus the way too optimistic timeline. But better is how hysterical is it to give this very inspirational story to this little girl.
i think that the most real thing is a slipping of the youth vote being able to say you're fighting against the shit system. when the bad party is the party in power, youthful contrarianism is easy to focus. now, less so.