Everything posted by BehoId, The Underminer!
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
NYT: Votes for Haley aren't predictive of anything. In fact, they are low by historic standards. (Biden 2020 had 23% of people voting for folks other than him in the primaries after all other serious contenders dropped out) https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/04/24/us/elections/nikki-haley-trump-zombie-votes.html
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Other interesting ones include big gains in NC for Biden, which is my one pic for Red -> Blue this cycle. There are circumstantial effects here that are a big deal on a state-by-state basis, as explained by the Times.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
really interesting study on change of number of donors by county. a nice measure of support i've not seen looked at. so you're not just looking at numbers, but the change since 2020, which is useful to compare against because you know who won each state in 2020. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/05/16/us/elections/biden-trump-donors.html AZ: Biden (left), Trump (Right). Green is positive delta against 2020, orange negative.
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Lake Travis 2024: Countdown To Zero
the travis and drainage basin -- basically from the lake west to fredricksburg -- is the driest soil out there. there's not going to be any water headed to travis that doesn't go through buchanan first.
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Jimmy Carter [RIP 12-29-24]
i was born right at the end of his presidency. it would have been neat to see the machinations that brought him to power. a very 'non-presidential' feeling president edit: mechanations isn't a word? how long have i been saying it like that?
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Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty Guilty
it happens more often than you'd think. the defense can still be a number of different things: "that stuff you said i did doesn't meet the statute." "that guy that is the lynchpin to the whole thing just misremembered the conversation." whatever. those sorts of defenses don't lend themselves to witnesses for the defense.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
yeah, they might say that.
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Русский корабль - иди нахуй
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Post a pic that makes you lol
whistlle
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Attempted Assassination of Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico
I already saw tweets about "his dad was served under sergi something or other from the nkvd!" Yeah, no shit. He grew up in a Warsaw Pact country. Everyone is sprinting to the propaganda machines. "His 2nd cousin had blue and yellow flowers at his wedding!"
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Attempted Assassination of Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico
I feel there is going to be quite the rush to bullshit facts from both sides to tie this dude to the other.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
i think last time the debate helped biden because everyone got to see he wasn't senile like the trump campaign was making. if he's slowed a bit and shows that, he shouldn't do it. from my perspective the stuff the last few months haven't exactly been inspiring so i'm inclined to say no.
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Attempted Assassination of Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico
dude aligned with putin, more or less. ritter involved, perhaps.
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Русский корабль - иди нахуй
Archduke Fico imo.
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Random thoughts that don't warrant a thread
Shockingly bad ass Medal of Honor citation I just came across. It would be difficult to distinguish it from John Rambo's. https://mohmuseum.org/medal_of_honor/bennie-adkins/ https://www.cmohs.org/recipients/bennie-g-adkins
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Lot of ticket splitting in the polls, which (1) I think cuts against the Surly conventional wisdom of Polls Worthless Because Who Even Answers These Things Anyway? (2) is probably good evidence that the deficit is with persuadable voters at least.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Evidently JD Vance in court. He’s been my pick for VP nominee.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
That “who becomes a Nazi” article from 1941 that whoever posted captures a lot of this in my opinion.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/13/us/politics/biden-trump-battleground-poll.html?unlocked_article_code=1.rk0.dSJw.Mb_gYHfCMvPL&smid=url-share Trump with lots of leads including big one in NV
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population decline
It's more interesting than good/bad to me. It is the opposite of what we seemed to have been taught in the 1980s or whatever. It's a relief that we aren't dooming humanity to live like sardines in the future while all resources are consumed, which is nice. But in our lifetimes it'll be more bad than good is my guess because our economy is very hardwired with growth as an assumption.
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population decline
- The official 2024 GOP Presidential Candidate Clown Car thread!
it was always the stupidest argument. rich people famously shun getting more money.- The GQP: Trumpist Death Cult
i mean, i bet that's the one part he has memorized.- Random thoughts that don't warrant a thread
their whole business model is providing the feel of a mini vacation. now when i go in it is trashy and dirty and it is just mcdonalds with whip.- RFK Jr. off the chain and off his rocker
- The official 2024 GOP Presidential Candidate Clown Car thread!
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