Sorry, just jumped in, new area of concern for SW part of Metro, heading into West Central Austin. Now it's raining hard in Bee Cave but no severe - rigt now.
Large tornado on ground in Pflugerville.
Shit breaking out all over us. Now you know what "Moderate Risk" means.
Ooh, before I go, tornado warning for - Jarrell. Ugh. That tornado is expected to be very bad.
Keep in mind these storms are gonna get worse as they move east into eastern Texas this evening. Multiple tornadoes expected.
Probably not much, although watches are up until 10. Keep one eye open, but most of the worst is now. Rain continues here/there into evening.
Tomorrow, sunny as a Willard Scott forecast.
Worst of Austin-bound storm might be moving a little east, maybe 35 or just east of it. Barton Creek Mall will be spared, so the olds have somewhere to walk still.
New tornado warning for Hays/Travis, for storm heading towards Austin. Call people on the road to say get out of traffic Tornado moving up just east of Barton Creek Mall, maybe will skirt Shady Hollow. Probably not full on-ground but rotating.
Don't want to jinx it, but so am I and so far two big storms are straddling me. However Drip/Bee Cave put into the possible (but less likely) path of the tornadic/hail storm from Wimberley.
Wimberley tornado headed for Austin but might veer and strength uncertain.
Another rotation possible future warning around Hudson Bend, headed for Cedar Park. Take care/ready to cover.
Tornado warning east of Wimberly, moving towards Southpark Meadows, extreme S Austin, headed for S/E extreme metro parts, Del Valle.
Confirmed tornado, no info on strength, but take cover SE parts of town/county.
You should throw out that app.
Meanwhile, Jim Spencer is out by the West Travis storm, says tornadic activity is developing. Should miss me (whew!) but wlll tag Briarcliff and West Lakeway. Even if not tornado very very strong winds and hail.
Severe TS heading smack to Austin. Another one heading toward Lakeway and points west, a third heading SE of city into Bastrop county. Wow. Hopefully these don't explode over us.
Update:
Alright, here we go. Hail in storm plus now some rotation, moving up Blanco Co. west of me. MIght be worth watching.
Another ominous blob heading NE for Austin proper. If it's gonna happen, it'll be in these. Probably more to come within next hour.
One more thing.. just FYI here is an approximation of the cold front (as of 2:55 p.m.), which in this case, is the place where the worst storms will form with this system, so you can track it on radar. Bye (for awhile).
Kinda good news, might mean energy is shifting to north/east. But haven't seen anything official on it yet.
Got damn I hate this stuff... technology just isn't good enough yet to predict pinpoints on this. Fingers crossed.
Interesting tidbit while I'm here...
Little outflow boundary sweeping in, this is a rush of cooler air generated by thunderstorms behind it. Lots of times these outflows can themselves be the line to ramp up, though I don't think it's gonna happen here. Just kind of a cool pic FWIW.
Back later (hope not, but we'll see).
Update:
I'll be back in when/if stuff gets nasty. It's entirely true we might not get shit. Or, it's entirely true we may get slammed.
One thing is for sure.. the line which will be severe really won't ramp up until it gets near us, say within 100 miles. The line out west isn't running into the blob of moisture that is the risk area.
It's not uncommon that this situation is ripe to "blow up" on or near us out of nothing. Some of our worst weather has been more like that than spotting a line way out west that comes through - usually these lines die down. I don't like this scenario, and the best hope is that it forms east of us.
But nothing on the radar right now means much as to the next 3-4 hours. I'd say within the next hour or two is when "it gets real" either shows up - or not - on the radar. So I'll be back if that happens. If not, meh. (But someone in the eastern half of Texas is going to get slammed today, definitely).