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KYHorn

Burnt Ends
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Everything posted by KYHorn

  1. US forces attempt to board oil tanker after pursuit acros...US officials say that American forces plan to seize the Russian-flagged ship, which is accused of breaking sanctions.
  2. It's worth mentioning that Greenland looks gigantic on maps and Venezuela has the "largest oil reserves in the world".
  3. Our IRGC's heads are falling off
  4. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/u-s-interdict-tanker-carrying-venezuelan-oil-after-maduros-capture/
  5. Put him on the couch!
  6. Just getting everyone ready
  7. Pretty gruesome at the end:
  8. There are reports indicating a deployment of 160th SOAR assets to RAF Fairford in the UK. In addition, two AC-130J aircraft have also recently deployed to the UK. The specific mission set remains unclear at this time. However, several plausible explanations stand out: A) Participation in a joint exercise with UK Special Forces. B) Forward staging for a potential maritime interdiction or seizure operation, potentially involving sanctioned vessels such as BELLA 1. C) A temporary staging node ahead of further deployment, either elsewhere in Europe or onward into the Middle East. (Image from yesterday)
  9. Not in Austin, but I was quoted around $2500 per eye. General question: Lasik speeds up the timeline for needing readers, right? I do a ton of my work on my computer, but I guess I can just adjust the font size to avoid the need to constantly use readers. Is there anything I'm missing? Even at 37, it would really suck to get the surgery only for it to necessitate glasses for most of my day when my contacts work fine.
  10. Interesting insight into the process and thinking of the admin here Delcy Rodríguez and the core of the regime’s leadership are negotiating with the United States as we speak. This is not a sudden pivot. It is the result of a conclusion reached in Washington over months: the U.S. does not believe that María Corina Machado and the opposition have the operational capacity to seize power in Venezuela because they do not control, or meaningfully fracture, the military. If they did, power would have shifted immediately after the 2024 presidential election. It did not. For a long period, U.S. officials, including Marco Rubio, were in constant communication with Machado and her team. They were asked repeatedly for proof of a concrete plan, not just to win power symbolically, but to retain it in practice: chain of command, military alignment, institutional control, day-after governance. The answers were consistently evasive, justified by security concerns, but never substantiated. At that point, from the U.S. government’s perspective, the opposition ceased to look like a viable transition mechanism and began to look like a political wager with no enforcement arm. The plan now on the table is for Delcy Rodríguez to stabilize the country with U.S. backing and then call for general elections. This is not framed as an endorsement of the regime, but as a containment and transition strategy. Washington is explicit about one thing: this is not a partnership of equals. The United States is running the process, the lines are being managed through Rubio, and the leverage is entirely asymmetric. Delcy is the instrument, not the center of gravity. U.S. officials also assess that Delcy’s harsh public rhetoric today was aimed inward, at the chavista base, not outward. That messaging is understood as domestic signaling. Nevertheless, as of now, negotiations with the United States are ongoing as we speak.
  11. You want something like this, unless you already have invisalign retainers or other type of plastic retainer or mouth guard, in which case, you can just buy the hydrogen peroxide gel.
  12. Real winner of 2024 election
  13. So negotiated with the 6 generals, not Maduro?
  14. At least one helicopter was shot, according to Trump, but yes, minimal resistance it seems
  15. I've seen reports that it was negotiated and the VP being in Moscow would support that, but was this operation all then to circumvent the VN military?
  16. Trump just said in an interview that there were injuries but no deaths of US troops. A helicopter was hit. Also said this was planned to occur 4 days ago but the weather wasn't favorable. Maduro was in a "highly guarded fortress" with "steel doors" that had to be "blow torched". He was trying to get into a safe room in the house but didn't make it into there. Said Maudro has very little support but also would say he supports Machado. Trump said "well they have a vice president as well..." but said "we cannot take a chance of someone else taking control of the country" (implying someone else like Maduro). Trump said he didn't know about the Chinese delegates, and that the US military built mock-ups of the house Maduro was in. Trump spoke personally with Maduro a couple of times, including about a week ago. Maduro and his wife are now on the USS Iwo Jima.
  17. If this is true, the closest comparison for the Venezuela operation isn't Iraq but Panama. In both cases, the invasion was portrayed as a police action to capture a head of state to stand trial in the US for drug trafficking. Operation Just Cause, unlike Operation Iraqi Freedom, is seen in US defense circles as a success, a quick operation that did not result in a prolonged occupation or bloody insurgency. It also succeeded in installing Guillermo Endara - the opposition leader who won the annulled 1989 elections - as president, and dismantling the Panama Defense Forces entirely. There are reasons why this comparison doesn't work, however. Unlike Venezuela, Panama already had a major US military presence as the then-headquarters of Southcom, with over 10,000 troops already on Panamanian soil before the invasion, who could guarantee a transition of government and US-friendly administration after. It's also much smaller and was exclusively under the thumb of the US from its founding. Venezuela is much larger, has oil, and closer relations with other foreign powers, notably China. Its military is democratically unaccountable, has vast powers beyond national defense, and is rich from oil rents and criminal activities. It's hard to see how Venezuela transitions to a democratic, opposition-run government without either the FANB's buy-in, or dismantling. And it's hard to see how those things are secured by a smash-and-grab operation that appears to already be over.
  18. Several contradictory things are simultaneously true: 1. Maduro was an oppressive, unpopular and illegitimate ruler, disastrous for his country and the region. 2. Using the US to remove him may have been equally illegitimate. 3. Venezuela would be better off with a new government under the opposition's Edmundo Gonzalez (who probably won the presidential election but is now exiled). 4. It's not clear that Maduro will be replaced by Gonzalez. Maduro's VP is still apparently in power, as are other regime figures and the Cubans who back them. 5. As we've seen in Iraq and Libya, it can be easier to topple a leader than to establish a new government; sometimes you get a worse leader, or Somalia-style chaos.
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