Everything posted by berlinerbaer
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The Climate thread
He is making an argument that is growing among the Right. Climate change denial is becoming unpopular, so the next argument isn't whether it's occurring, or even if we are responsible. The next few decades are instead going to be spent arguing about whether we make all cars electric and go to renewables by 2040 or just surround Florida with a giant seawall. Or if not all of Florida, at least The Villages. The argument is that it will all be a black swan that nobody saw coming, and that all we can do now is hold back the sea and install bigger air conditioners in our F550s, at least for the people who can afford them, while sticking with coal since at least now a whopping 5% of the emissions are successfully being captured.
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Pac 12 After Dark - Oregon v. Cal
Damn it. Too much of a talent mismatch. Even Cristobal can't fuck that up.
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What are you doing Kyrsten
I doubt she runs for re-election in 2024. How does she think that future lobbying gig is going to work? Who is going to hire her? Democrats won't approach her and Republicans would rather hear from one of their own.
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2022 House Elections
This dude runs a Youtube channel on electoral commentary and such. Here's his breakdown on Oregon and Texas. Oregon analysis starts at 3:50. Texas at 7:43.
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2022 House Elections
Fivethirtyeight up with an informative piece on this map. Basically every representative is in a safer district except Vicente Gonzalez in TX-15, and he's retiring. That seat alone will determine whether Texas is 25-13 or 24-14. Can't overlook the effect that uncompetitive House races will have up and down the ballot. This new map will really hurt turnout.
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What are you doing Kyrsten
What does this mean? What kind of pressure does the state party really have over her? I imagine the DSSC will still control fundraising, and they will likely endorse her over any challengers.
- Other Games Thread
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Other Games Thread
Cal at Washington going to overtime.
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Gavin Newsom Recall
More like illegals in the Valley. From 538...
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Gavin Newsom Recall
Cool, but if I'm not mistaken, a ballot measure amends the state constitution which is a more permanent solution than legislation.
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Gavin Newsom Recall
Start gathering signatures for the ballot measure to eliminate recall elections now, please.
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Gavin Newsom Recall
The recall gained some real traction once Delta started getting out of hand. So far, exit polls show really good news for Newsom on that front. https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/california-recall-election-newsom/
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2021 Hurricane & Cyclone Thread
No rain here in Sugar Land, but getting really breezy. It's got a noticeable eastward jog on the most recent radar loop. If that keeps up, it will put most of greater Houston in the clean side of the storm.
- USMNT 2021
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Shit going down in Guinea
Some of this is a hangover from European colonization. I think the Belgian colonizers, for example, played the Hutus and Tutsis off each other in Rwanda in order to keep them weak. The two tribes formerly didn't have much beef and it could be argued that they weren't really separate ethnic groups at all. I can't imagine a tiny country like Rwanda splitting apart into its constituent ethnic enclaves. In any case, Rwanda has really turned things around in the last 25 years, for the better.
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New & improved political compass test. This time in 8 dimensions!
I came off as slightly primitivist as well. I'm not saying that's wrong, but it is interesting considering I am a scientist by profession. The question that I got most hung up on was the one that asked if I thought that normal people can be trusted to vote. I went with "Agree" but hesitated because I thought I should consider the current political climate rather than what I thought is generally true.
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New & improved political compass test. This time in 8 dimensions!
- Nevada @ Cal (Pac-12 After Dark is Back!)
Welp. We got one solid quarter and now more shit.- No thread on Montana beating #20 Washington?
* Missoula- No thread on Montana beating #20 Washington?
- Nevada @ Cal (Pac-12 After Dark is Back!)
We look good on both sides of the ball. I don't care if it's against a MW team, I haven't been able to say that in years.- Week 1 upsets: call your shot
Who had Washington losing to Montana on their picks?- LSU@UCLA- f the SEC!
UCLA looks like they're sending in the whole front 7 every play.- LSU@UCLA- f the SEC!
It was fucking hot last week and it's fucking hot today. Not surprised that Bruin fans are staying away. There is zero shade in that place. There should be quite a few UCLA late arrivals this evening. It should look decent on TV by the 2nd half.- 2022 House Elections
The maps in 2022 will be much better than they were in 2012, yes, but will they be better than in 2020? - Nevada @ Cal (Pac-12 After Dark is Back!)
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