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Bill Lumbergh

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Everything posted by Bill Lumbergh

  1. I have a feeling at this point even Satya is sitting back saying "damn, this is going much worse than I expected."
  2. I don't think that's even arguable. Win or lose to OU, we suck this year when we shouldn't. Ewers was about the only thing Tom had left to point to as reason for optimism. Ewers in the class pretty much guaranteed a good class, which indicates that recruits are still excited about what you're selling. Narrator: they're not.
  3. Don't worry, it gets worse over time.
  4. She did not fucking wear her Harvard shirt to Cambridge.
  5. Exactly. Some players buy into a new coach/system and some do not. The faster you figure out who is who, the better. No, this won't help results this year, but a guy like Leach is never going to win a lot year 1. Might as well focus on the build. None of this means he'll be successful there. He very well may not be. It's just silly to project any real meaning on the first few games and normal player attrition early in any coaches tenure, but especially one as unique as Leach.
  6. It doesn't change the fact that his system is really specific and they're not repped to efficiency on it. They either have the patience for the team to get there or they don't. This is closer to a coach coming in who runs the triple option, and a team who has been running a different scheme for years looking really shaky executing it at first. The only way it gets better is reps, specifically the qb and wr for leach. If they give him time, I think he'll put up points. If they were short sighted about the investment required to be productive, maybe he never gets there.
  7. He's been injured
  8. Continuing this gag in a thread where some of us are trying to engage in a real discussion about the team seems in pour taste.
  9. I just don't get this line of thinking with Leach. He has a system and it works, but he needs the right players for it and those players need reps in it. It's pretty binary in being highly effective or not very effective. His first three years at wa state he went 3-9, 6-7, 3-9. He followed that by going 9-4, 8-5, 9-4, 11-2. Now, wazzu was a disaster when he took over, so I don't think he'll need as long to get going at ms state, but anyone thinking he'd take that set of players recruited for a different system and just make it work was delusional. His system may or may not work there, but it's probably a bit early to say he's been figured out and will continue to have poor offensive showings now that he's in the sec. He's been there before and scored plenty.
  10. Quote just below that tweet tells you everything you need to know:
  11. This basically proves a false sense of security lulls you to sleep with this thing. I had friends in New York that were hard core quarantining back when texas was opening up. They had things worse in the first wave, we didn't, so everyone was more relaxed here. Then our numbers got awful. Now, those same friends in New York are worrying that things have opened too aggressively and that they're going to have a really bad winter. Areas that are spiking in the us now generally have not had bad spikes yet, so people just aren't as likely to have been personally impacted or think this is applicable to them. Europe clearly thought they'd passed the threat and could get back to normal. The next few months will be the hardest regardless of where you've been on this spectrum. Everyone is sick of this shit and wants to live normally again. Winter and holidays will highlight all of the hardest parts of being cautious about this. All this data consistently shows is that there's a clear cause/effect with spread of covid that is undeterred by a populations level of exhaustion with preventative measures. Loosen up, and it will spike. It's painful, but pretty clear by now. Thankfully we do seem to be better at treating it now, but I still worry about overrunning hospitals this winter if we can't keep up with some level of distancing and avoiding large indoor gatherings. I'm personally not at all excited to keep this going, but we'll do what we feel is responsible to do.
  12. Come on, it's disingenuous to act like that's all we do with our run game. We very often gain no yards or lose yards on that play.
  13. At this point I wouldn't be surprised if Kerstetter just pulls out a flame thrower and starts lighting people up after a play. Herman will call it an effort penalty.
  14. You're awfully engaged in threads about what he does next for someone who doesn't care. So wait, is your point that you don't think he'll come, or that you think ohio state is better off without him? I can't follow the point you're trying to make. You know who else thought Meyer was done for good? Florida fans, after he stepped down there for the sake of his health. Funny how that all worked out.
  15. You're right that we generally have close, competitive games. The biggest gripe is that they're close and competitive whether they should be or not. LSU last season = totally justifiable. They were a great team, and we were their 2005 ohio state. May have given them their toughest game of the year (easily could've won without an Ingram td drop and some Todd Orlando dumbfuckery). Kansas last season = complete lack of focus and preparation. Unless teams are at an extreme talent disadvantage (utep, rice) we rarely look dominant. If we're capable of going head to head with that lsu team for four quarters, we're more than capable of beating kansas by more than two points, but we weren't prepared or focused. What team will show up Saturday? Hell if I know. This year's team feels more fundamentally weak at important positions (oline, wr) for me to think we'll make it a good game, but I never know what to expect out of Herman's teams. I know that we'll lose again, probably more than once, the only question is will it be to the predictable teams like osu or isu, or will we win those and lose a head scratcher to Kansas.
  16. Both this fact, and the fact that I didn't already know this, are quite telling. Damn.
  17. I just realized that Herman gave a press conference today and, save a single Brian Davis tweet, it has been completely ignored on the board In the last days of Mack I remember someone saying that in sports apathy is a worse sign than anger. When a group of people so engaged in a team/sport that they spend a significant amount of time on an internet forum discussing it completely ignores a coaches weekly presser, you're getting pretty damn close to apathy.
  18. I saw nothing in the game to tell me we've given up trying, but Baylor wasn't really the team to expose that if we have. We didn't look great, but we didn't need to, and Tom's teams never give great effort in games like that. Historically they have in games like osu, so I think if we want to know if they're still bought in, this game will be a much more clear signal than a very overmatched Baylor team.
  19. "cleaning poop is really, really hard"
  20. For some reason, Herman seems to be able to get the team ready for games like this. I don't bet on sports, but if I did this is the kind of game I'd stay far away from. It would not surprise me at all if we win and look good doing it, based on the rollercoaster our team can be. That said, I'm not sure Herman hasn't lost this team, and if he has we will be beaten soundly. We didn't look lost against Baylor, but Baylor should be really, really bad. You just don't learn much from that. If we do happen to win, I expect to lose to wvu the following week, because the next time Herman's team delivers two impressive back to back games might be the first.
  21. This is a good example, but you missed the real magic. This is the same poster further down the thread responding when someone asked why he is religiously opposed to wearing a mask. Yikes. Edit to add: yes, he has a tag, so he is a verified graduate of that fine institution of higher education.
  22. First, not all of the $40M is incremental. We will have a coaching staff and pay them a lot of $ regardless of Meyer or not. We'll very likely make a coaching change this season based on our performance relative to opportunity, so the buyouts aren't even incremental to hiring Meyer. If you assume we're going to be paying buyouts and hiring a top tier staff no matter what, I'd argue the incremental cost of making Meyer that hire doesn't actually change the optics terribly much. Add to that, if support and excitement from the donor base is there with Meyer that isn't there with other candidates, it could actually be financially advantageous for the school to hire Meyer, assuming we have the right commitments in place. Not firing Tom Herman this year will save you short term money and optics but will have huge opportunity cost for years. Given our current trajectory on all fronts football and the importance of football to the overall AD and giving, it's hard to overstate the cost of keeping Herman. Firing Tom Herman and spending a lot of $ on the wrong candidate saves you almost nothing on optics (you're still spending a ton of $ on football in this economic climate), but possibly without the same level of donor support. You also may not fix the opportunity cost part of option 1. Firing Tom Herman and hiring Urban Meyer costs you on short term optics (agreed that they're not great), but probably has significantly higher short term financial benefits in terms of donor support and is your best opportunity cost play. Texas will likely not have a more sure thing opportunity available for football in the next 5 years, and really cannot afford to be wrong again. If you take a very short term limited perspective on hiring Meyer, it's easy to justify not doing it. If you take a longer term, wider perspective, it's hard to justify not doing it.
  23. Two high high ego guys working together will usually generate conflict. It's worse when one of the two has earned the right to his ego while the other is just such a narcissist he believes his ego is warranted even if everyone else can't see it yet. It goes full scorched earth if the one who hasn't earned anything starts getting credit for their combined success over the one who has the track record of success. That's Herman and Urban.
  24. I don't think anyone really wants us to lose. I think everyone wants us to be a better team, so losing doesn't feel so damn likely. If you think there's a high probability we lose, might as well rationalize the upside that it could mean the end of Tom's tenure here. Do I want us to lose? No. I want us to win every game, always. Do I think that's a likely outcome under Herman? After 4 years, I don't. This year particularly we're not anywhere near the team we should be on paper, and that's why I think we'll lose several more this season and Tom will lose his job. I'm not happy about any of that. This has been a shit year and a fun football season would've been a really nice distraction. If the consolation prize I get is a new coach to get excited about, I'll take it, but that doesn't mean I'm happy that we're a bad team who I expect to lose.
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