Everything posted by Reynolds Woodcock
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
What time is Iowa usually called? Certainly don't expect a Harris win, but more interested than usual for obvious reasons.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I don't think so. I thought it was urinal cake or some other more prominent name, but honestly I could be totally wrong.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I think I spot some Grand Tremezzo umbrellas. Don't sleep on their pizzas in the back pool area.
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Halloween/Horror Movie Thread
Very good movie.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Who was the absolutely unhinged guy that started spaz posting in 2020 before the good news started rolling in? I think T Tom was already gone by then
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I will say that Ralston's analysis is basically "too close to call but tie goes to Dems in Nevada". I think it's a shoulder shrug masked as a prediction, but I'll take it.
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The movie you just watched
Anora was predictably fantastic. Love Sean Baker’s work
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
To give some context, the final 2016 Selzer poll was Trump + 7 (he won by 9). The final 2020 Selzer poll was Trump +7 (he won by 8).
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Well. Hello.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Fun story. My grandfather (a classic conservative republican) was a dentist and the mayor of a mid size city in Texas in the 70s. During his stint as mayor, he pushed through a policy to add fluoride to the city water. I remember him telling me that the local yokels were convinced he was poisoning the city. Over 50 years later, that same city will overwhelmingly vote to go back in time. Incredible
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Florida-Georgia in Jacksonville
Feels like Florida just missed an opportunity to throw a 1 yard swing pass to a running back.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Half this thread (if not more) voted for Bush, but I don’t think a single one would stand up for him now. Most have realized they were duped by their upbringing and environment (although some still cling to some silly notion of fiscal conservatism or libertarianism).
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
No need to apologize. It’s pretty gross.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I see this from a fair number of my partners at work (all white men of course). A combination of taxes (mostly imaginary concerns) and Lina Kahn. A lot of “well I hate Trump the person but I hate these crazy left policies more”. Drives me crazy from a moral standpoint, but if it’s not changing by round 3, it’s not changing.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I mean, that’s great, but has there been an election she has publicly said democrats were not going to win?
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Halloween/Horror Movie Thread
One of my faves. That first drop from the staircase is special
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
One problem Trump has on the legal front is that representing him is toxic for the big firms that have the elite practice groups he needs. Ted Olson ain’t walking through that door. Jones Day was about the only big shop that was willing to represent him, but I think I read an article that even they were sitting this one out.
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Halloween/Horror Movie Thread
MADS on Shudder. Fuck. Yes.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I thought we were told to only pay attention to Ralston in Nevada and ignore the polls?
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Quinn "La Joya" Ewers - The Man The Myth The Mullet, Now Starting for the Miami Dolphins
Buddy, you really need to increase your cocktail of ritalin and ozempic and go touch some grass this week.
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Quinn "La Joya" Ewers - The Man The Myth The Mullet, Now Starting for the Miami Dolphins
Nobody needs to hear about your dating life, brother.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
In that imaginary scenario I’d probably feel good, but I’m not convinced that’s the correct framing of the situation. But again, I’m not out here analyzing and unskewing polls and EV data, so I hope you all turn out to be right.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
This thread is about the only data point (using that term facetiously) I have for hopium at this point. All other anecdotal evidence in my real life signals a Trump win, even while living in an ostensibly blue bubble like Manhattan. Hope the sentiment/AI on this thread prevails, but I’m expecting 4 years of shit.
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Quinn "La Joya" Ewers - The Man The Myth The Mullet, Now Starting for the Miami Dolphins
We should just sticky this and lock the thread. It’s frustrating, because he’ll have a game like 23 Alabama or 24 Michigan where it seems like the light switch flips all the way on and he’s finally taken the next step to a game changing, elite QB. But the quarterback we saw at Vandy is by and large what we’re going to get, with a few outlier games like Michigan (tremendous) and Georgia (putrid). That’s enough to beat most teams, but probably not good enough to win it all.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Sure, but Vance went to Ohio State for undergrad, so not sure we can lay all the blame on those mean old east coast elites