Everything posted by BehoId, The Underminer!
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Basic decency is lacking more than basic intelligence. People were a lot less educated 100 years ago but figured out how to elect Lincoln
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
got there based on experience.
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
then implement my plan for an aleutian beach condo!
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2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I don't really understand the question, but I think Nate was saying that by registration, in 2020 it was R+3 or something and now it is R+6.1. That is, for every 1000 D registrations, there was 1030 Rs in 2020 and now 1061 Rs.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Nate Cohn tweeted this morning that AZ by voter registration is 3.1 points more red than in 2020. Hard to be confident that could be overcome.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Word. T Roosevelt should never look like a dweeb.- Good joke thread
That’s one of my all time favorite clips.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
There are post 2024 reasons as well. You let a state go and it'll keep going.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
A daily conversation: "I'm thinking we should migrate." "But to where, sweetie?" "To a country we hate." "Not the US then. They have rules against that."- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Sounds like he understands it pretty well.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I just looked at AZ 2020 and they have a crazy right wing county up near Las Vegas that completely undoes-and-then-some the Maricopa county D advantage. So it ends up being Tucson/Pima versus the rest of the state.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
That's San Fernando Valley.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Bollocks, imo- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Straying quickly into jlaw.okay.gif-land- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Someone posted this the other day for NC which I thought was insightful. You can get a lot of insight from how an individual state will do if you know the overall national baseline to start from.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
edit: (i mean: " happened to align with the results of ONE group (biden votes).)- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
seems to me there are two possible explanations. if something says, say biden 51 trump 44, and the final result is biden 51 trump 49, then either (1) js's theory that they nailed biden number but missed on all late deciders, or (2) they missed really bad. a 7 point lead ended up a 2 point win. it was happenstance that the bad miss on three groups (biden, trump, undecided) happened to align with the results of two groups (biden trump votes). seems to me that 2 is more likely. i just did the thatsbait.gif because he and i have discussed polls in opposite directions multiple times, and that was going to get me discussing it again.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
if you don't think there are fact/statistics to back up the polls missing in 2020, i've got very bad news for you.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
also, lulz at the 'you must really love trump' sign-off.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
i only respond to correct the record when obvious cheerleading pumps out disingenuous stuff. if that happens to always be your posts, well then ...- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
thatsbait.gif. pick the worst polling year in 40 years and figure out how to say it was actually quite good,- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
i switch my username every few years for the exact reason of mr robinson's bust, and my posts have never been 1/100th as controversial as his.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
Awesome.- 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
I forgot Robinson was the dude that was the subject of one of my favorite tweets. - 2024 Presidential Election Thread - Let's keep the party going.
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