Everything posted by Vegas64
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Trump’s America
Not at all. I think the average poor/middle class are going to be impressed by Trump's dumb little tricks and will be, ironically, no different in behavior as the "welfare queens" they used to hate. The truth is they were just resentful it wasn't them being given free stuff whether they see it or not.
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Surly kids who can't get into UT
What's with the CU popularity all of a sudden? It never crossed our minds to consider CU-Boulder because it's notoriously cheap on aid and it's expensive for out of state and generally a poor value for the dollar. Are Texas kids these days really valuing the location and skiing and outdoors and trendiness of Colorado generally (and moving to Denver out of school)?
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Trump’s America
Has anyone filed their taxes yet? Trump is offering the Trump accounts which look like free money (to your stimmy checks point) and the returns are going to be 2x (child credits, expanded loopholes) than what people were getting the last few years. I bet that helps him at the kitchen table of the poor and middle class (who are functionally the same thing at this point).
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UFO?
True. What is an open debate is whether the making of the roster was because of a Holy, perfect GM (God or divine inspired) or through a man-made decision (councils of flawed and sinful men, etc.). You see this across different sects where, for example, the Ethiopan Orthodox Church has Book of Enoch in their canonical scripture but most others don't. Or how the Catholics have a bunch of books in canon that Protestants don't.
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ChatGPT AI Tool— We all work for robots now
It's not a leap. It's a different, divergent conversation. Which was my point if you scroll back and read the last few back and forths. ChatGPT's only real path forward is monetization with ads and/or storefront, click-through purchasing (like with Wal-mart).
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UFO?
I remember once upon a time reading the apocryphal Book of Enoch. It's premise is basically Angels or The Watchers came down from heaven and taught human beings "sorcery" in a Prometheus sort of way-- things like mathematics, astronomy and reading the stars, roots and herbs and medicine, and other manner of "forbidden knowledge" from the heavens. And this was bad and angered God who then destroyed (rather, chained in an abyss forever) these fallen angels. By the way, these fallen angels procreated with people and their offspring were literal giants as we understand them archetypically. Anyways, I was reading something about the book after I had finished it and saw a comment that made me pause. "if you replace the word angel with alien, you have a story of intelligent life visiting earth and a primitive species and a story of a rogue band of aliens having sympathy and helping before the mothership destroyed them and then later flooded the earth" as Enoch was of course, Noah's grandfather. Almost assuredly it's gobbledygook from Jewish mystics, but did make for an interesting r/highdormroomchat prompt.
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ChatGPT AI Tool— We all work for robots now
I know there was a time when the Grok model would release and "reset the market" with LLMs and be top tier, but I can honestly say I've never used it. Just not my world, I guess. I'm a ChatGPT and Gemini guy mainly with a sprinkling of Perplexity.
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My new favorite subreddit
I'm mad vexed, it's what the projects made me. A rebel to the grain, there's no way to barricade me.
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ChatGPT AI Tool— We all work for robots now
Maybe because I'm a neutral observer and AI is impersonal to me, you seem to think I'm a sunshine pumper or AI bull (check the stocks thread, I'm a noted bear) and think AI is a bubble.. But, I'm not sunshine pumping anything. I agree that the business model is busted. I think ads are a necessity at this point because the business model of a consumer technology like ChatGPT is busted. That said, I think we are conflating consumer AI and business or enterprise AI when you are talking about getting a useful work or product out of them. ChatGPT is a standalone consumer product today that can (and does) steal marketshare from search. Ads only help and I'll stop there as I'm just repeating myself probably. In the same way you think that I'm just some AI fun guy sunshine true believer, I'd challenge you to, what's the word here, extrospection? Look outside of yourself and your experience as a praticioner of AI in your narrow subset of your organization, role and responsibility. Widen your aperture, as we say, because whether we see it or recognize it, AI and AI strategy will have a seat in the board room for a long time. The business demand, whether the returns in the early innings are positive or not (and you are right to lampoon them in the short term as not, of course) is only growing. The demand for enterprise AI applications and use cases is not the same as blockchain or NFT or beanie babies or tulips. I bolster this opinion with the below, from TSMC's earnings yesterday which I thought super insightful. TSMC has been hedging on building out it's capacity to meet the overnight, hyperinflated, crazy boom and bubble of demand. The earnings have shown they have been conservative and cautious of spending on capex to build out foundries because in an AI bubble pop, they'd be left holding the bag if the demand evaporated. To quote him verbatim: The CEO of TSMC came out and essentially said as a business, we have to measure two or three times before cutting, because the risk is very high for us. I know you have an opinion based on where you sit, but can you acknowledge that the titans in this space might also have a perspective, maybe even some vision and understanding, that might lead to teh curation of a different opinion than yours (or perhaps even a nuance of the same opinion)? One that might inform a different strategy than you would suggest? One that might invite a discussion with some patience for those who might disagree slightly on some things, even while agreeing with a lot?
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ChatGPT AI Tool— We all work for robots now
Revisiting the ad strategy for OpenAI. I read some interesting back and forth all day today I think I go back to ads being the obvious and needed strategy for OpenAI if they want to compete and win in a winner take most (and in which they have had a massive lead that they may have or may be squandering). A few points I've read and believe why: 1) In our economy any consumer internet product utilizes an adverstiing model because it optimizes for revenue income. You can increase average revenue per user without any worries about pricing/price elasticity because the entire increase in average rvenue isnt paid for by the consumer but rather by the advertiser who are willingly paying for it because they are getting a positive returns on their ad investments. This allows most to use it free and spreading the reach around the world (the Google and Social Media models). 2) Then when you have this virtuous cycle running, you are able to really full throttle on R&D, increasing advantages, because anyone without that model has orders of magnitude less because they have to either raise VC money, raise debt or charge users. 3) OpenAI's CFO basically admitted yesterday that OpenAI with it's fixed costs isn't a scalable business as it stands right now in that in order to make more money it needs to spend more money. 4) OpenAI needs to spend on R&D to maintain position and fend off competition. OpenAI's rapidly increasing costs match revenue almost 1:1. That's not a feasible company without an ad model long term, it doesn't seem like. Sam Altman was very opposed to ad models for OpenAI. The fact that cooler heads have prevailed say something.
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I for one welcome our new AI overlords
Agree with all that. I would just say, regarding businseses being created and creating products and services that will be used and loved (or hated) by future us, based on technology that is emerging.